Call Audit

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Passport #152417 · Jul 13, 2026 · 11:03 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC

@killaxbt

Jul 13, 2026 · 11:03 UTC

$BTC It is the 14th tomorrow. I'm looking for a setup like this. We usually start to see bearish reactions after the 14th, but the RR for taking shorts isn't attractive enough for me to blindly enter without a cleaner sweep. If we get a setup like this, I'll look for scalp shorts. If not, we could still see the usual bearish reaction after the 14th, but I'll likely sit it out because the RR doesn't justify taking the trade.

Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

Asset

BTC

Stage 2 · Type Classification

Type	Conditional
Activation	Active at Trigger

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

Asset	BTC
Direction	Short
Commitment	—
Duration	30 days · Medium Term
Trigger	$65,500
Trigger Operator	—

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

Tier 2 setup: drawn forecast path in the future zone shows a small upward move to approximately 65,500 followed by a larger downward move to around 56,000. The small up leg functions as a liquidity grab/wick into supply before the main bearish move, matching Category D for a downward trade. Trigger level is approximate as no explicit label exists on the drawn path.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

Asset	BTC
Direction	Short
Activation	Active at Trigger
Activation price	$62,335
Target	—
Duration	30 days · Medium Term
Trigger level	$65,500
Trigger operator	—
Conditional operator	Category D — Sweep/Wick/Liquidity Grab/Stop Run/Tap
Trigger hit	Yes
Trigger time	Jul 14, 2026 · 00:00 UTC

Scoring

This call is conditional live — no final score yet.

Duration Resolution

Duration source	default_30
Duration stated (days)	30
Duration used in scoring	30

Pipeline

Pipeline path	4D
Merge source	chart_only
Direction source	chart
Target source	none
Commitment level	—
Spot price at post	$63,084
Stage 0 passed	Yes

Review Provenance

gate_3_confidence: chart_trigger_confidencegate_1_complex_path: path=4D

Merge Flags

orphan_chart: true

Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mae": 2765.48,
  "mfe": 228.52,
  "mqs": 0.283888,
  "ocs": 0.076326,
  "tif": 0,
  "mfe_ts": "2026-07-14 00:00:00+00:00",
  "abs_mag": 0.01678,
  "sigma_d": 0.02195758,
  "eval_end": "2026-07-15 05:30:00+00:00",
  "magnitude": 0.283888,
  "max_close": 65043.98,
  "min_close": 62309.35,
  "eval_start": "2026-07-14 00:00:00+00:00",
  "trigger_p0": 62334.52,
  "trigger_ts": "2026-07-14 00:00:00+00:00",
  "active_mode": false,
  "score_final": false,
  "trigger_hit": true,
  "review_flags": {},
  "sigma_d_days": 30,
  "mew_days_used": 30,
  "mqs_raw_ratio": 0.333919,
  "target_hit_ts": null,
  "accuracy_score": 0.094248,
  "activation_price": 62334.52,
  "dir_target_score": null,
  "candles_evaluated": 119,
  "expected_move_mqs": 0.010979,
  "scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
  "tif_total_aggregated": 3,
  "trigger_candle_index": 0,
  "aggregated_candles_count": 3,
  "tif_favorable_aggregated": 0,
  "candles_evaluated_aggregated": 3
}