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Passport #149252 · Jul 10, 2026 · 13:18 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC
KI@killaxbt
Jul 10, 2026 · 13:18 UTC
$BTC
So far so good. We are following the script into the 14th.
If this continues to play out, it would suggest that BTC forms a pivot high between Monday and Wednesday next week, heading into the 14th, before seeing a 3–5% pullback.
You already know the drill, 11 out of 12 times, we've seen a bearish reaction afterwards. Keep a close eye on the narrative as we approach that date.
If we form a strong bullish narrative, it reinforces the thesis.
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 5 days · Short Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
First leg is directional up into a pivot high between Monday and Wednesday next week. No explicit numeric target for the pivot high is stated, so target is null. Hedged with 'if this continues to play out'.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC forms a pivot high. 'Between Monday and Wednesday next week' is bound to this outcome; D = 2026-07-10, Wednesday July 15 is 5 days out → explicit_timeframe = 5.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $64,162 |
| Target | — |
| Duration | 5 days · Short Term |
Scoring
0.35composite Call Rank Score
| Move Score (MQS) | 0.56 |
| Path Score (OCS) | 0.51 |
| Time Score (TIF) | 0.22 |
| Magnitude | 0.56 |
| Max Favorable Move | +0.8% |
| Max Unfavorable Move | −0.8% |
| Candles evaluated | 65 · 2h |
| Eval window | Jul 10, 2026 · 13:18 UTC → Jul 11, 2026 · 05:30 UTC |
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | explicit_text |
| Duration stated (days) | 5 |
| Duration used in scoring | 5 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3C->4A |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | none |
| Commitment level | mild_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $64,162 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 505.86,
"mfe": 530.97,
"mqs": 0.555026,
"ocs": 0.512109,
"tif": 0.222222,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-10 14:00:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.092525,
"sigma_d": 0.02043988,
"eval_end": "2026-07-11 05:30:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.555026,
"max_close": 64484,
"min_close": 63732.25,
"eval_start": "2026-07-10 13:18:56+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 14,
"mew_days_used": 5,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.809738,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.345471,
"activation_price": 64161.86,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 65,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.01022,
"scoring_candle_tf": "2h",
"tif_total_aggregated": 9,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 9,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 2,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 9
} 