Call Audit

Every scored call is fully auditable

Passport #84709 · May 19, 2026 · 09:27 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC

@i_am_jackis

May 19, 2026 · 09:27 UTC

To my view the crypto market has clearly capitulated on Feb 6th, following with probably one of the most illiquid and boring periods in its history to this day. The market clearly ran out of sellers during that period amidst the equities sell-off, mooning oil prices & US-Iran war news & other stuff, failing to move prices lower. And anyone who wanted to leave the space has already done so & sold during this period. The remainder are people that will never leave. We have ranged since then & lots of alts attempted a breakout last week again however it failed to hold & rejected over the weekend. So any immediate recovery seems out of reach now. Using $XRP here as an example but situation is similar across the board. The next logical outcome is that we won't recover as quickly just yet but also likely won't fall much further either with the above context. Best the MMs can give you is likely the next 30 days of range? Crab for the win. Short term bearish on the price but HTF bullish bias remains. Good news is that the space, or in a better word certain quality projects & teams are now extremely undavalued compared to its trad-fi peers & will present massive assymetric opportunity once the risk conditions improves for the space. Time is the real question here. I understand this post won't appeal to either bears nor bulls much but it is the reality of the current market in a broader look from my POV. $BTC likely to remain strong but that is a category of its own

Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

Asset

XRP

Stage 2 · Type Classification

Type	Conditional
Activation	Active at Trigger

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

Asset	XRP
Direction	Long
Commitment	—
Duration	30 days · Medium Term
Trigger	$1.22
Trigger Operator	Acceptance Below

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

Tier 2: drawn path shows a dip from current price down to ~1.22 (sweeping the prior range low) followed by a larger move up to ~1.40. The dip is the setup/liquidity grab trigger; the upward move is the main forecast.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

Asset	XRP
Direction	Long
Activation	Active at Trigger
Activation price	$1.22
Target	—
Duration	30 days · Medium Term
Trigger level	$1.22
Trigger operator	Acceptance Below
Conditional operator	Category D — Sweep/Wick/Liquidity Grab/Stop Run/Tap
Trigger hit	Yes
Trigger time	Jun 3, 2026 · 00:00 UTC

Scoring

0.28composite Call Rank Score

Move Score (MQS)	0.56
Path Score (OCS)	0.26
Time Score (TIF)	0.03
Magnitude	0.56
Max Favorable Move	+6.0%
Max Unfavorable Move	−17.3%
Candles evaluated	2881 · 1d
Eval window	Jun 3, 2026 · 00:00 UTC → Jul 3, 2026 · 00:00 UTC

Duration Resolution

Duration source	chart_timeframe
Duration stated (days)	30
Duration used in scoring	30

Pipeline

Pipeline path	4D
Merge source	chart_only
Direction source	chart
Target source	none
Commitment level	—
Spot price at post	$1.37
Stage 0 passed	Yes

Review Provenance

gate_1_complex_path: path=4D

Merge Flags

orphan_chart: true

Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mae": 0.2108,
  "mfe": 0.0735,
  "mqs": 0.557682,
  "ocs": 0.258439,
  "tif": 0.032258,
  "mfe_ts": "2026-06-15 16:45:00+00:00",
  "abs_mag": 0.268994,
  "sigma_d": 0.02072608,
  "eval_end": "2026-07-03 00:00:00+00:00",
  "magnitude": 0.557682,
  "max_close": 1.2896,
  "min_close": 1.0146,
  "eval_start": "2026-06-03 00:00:00+00:00",
  "trigger_p0": 1.22,
  "trigger_ts": "2026-06-03 00:00:00+00:00",
  "active_mode": false,
  "trigger_hit": true,
  "review_flags": {},
  "sigma_d_days": 30,
  "mew_days_used": 30,
  "mqs_raw_ratio": 0.815726,
  "target_hit_ts": null,
  "accuracy_score": 0.279343,
  "activation_price": 1.22,
  "dir_target_score": null,
  "candles_evaluated": 2881,
  "expected_move_mqs": 0.073856,
  "scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
  "tif_total_aggregated": 31,
  "trigger_candle_index": 14,
  "aggregated_candles_count": 31,
  "tif_favorable_aggregated": 1,
  "candles_evaluated_aggregated": 31
}