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Passport #79956 · May 13, 2026 · 09:40 UTC · scored as of Oct 16, 2026 · 14:30 UTC
IA@i_am_jackis
May 13, 2026 · 09:40 UTC
One of the best risk-on signals is $Copper leading & outperforming
It has just broken out of a two decade long channel/range, successfully retested it & now hitting new ATHs
It has also been outperforming $Gold too for 3 months straight
Historically, this has caused bull runs in crypto and both $BTC & $ETH did thousands of precent during those times
Why fade this? Ego?
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | ETH |
| Direction | Long |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 120 days · Long Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Implicit bullish call on ETH based on copper's breakout serving as a risk-on signal historically preceding crypto bull runs. No explicit price targets stated — 'thousands of percent' is a historical reference, not a forecasted target. Tone is suggestive/rhetorical ('Why fade this?') rather than declarative, hence mild_hedge.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = ETH enters a bull run. Same macro framing as claim 0 — 'bull runs in crypto' with historical cycle language → Signal H base 120.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | ETH |
| Direction | Long |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $2,322 |
| Target | — |
| Duration | 120 days · Long Term |
Scoring
0.01composite Call Rank Score
| Move Score (MQS) | 0.05 |
| Path Score (OCS) | 0.00 |
| Time Score (TIF) | 0.00 |
| Magnitude | 0.05 |
| Max Favorable Move | +0.1% |
| Max Unfavorable Move | −35.1% |
| Candles evaluated | 4976 · 2w |
| Eval window | May 13, 2026 · 09:40 UTC → Jul 4, 2026 · 05:30 UTC |
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | ai_inferred |
| Duration stated (days) | 120 |
| Duration used in scoring | 120 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A->4A |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | none |
| Commitment level | mild_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $2,322 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Merge Flags
asset_mismatch: trueasset_mismatch_chart: COPPERasset_mismatch_claim: ETH
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 815.88,
"mfe": 1.8,
"mqs": 0.050002,
"ocs": 0.002201,
"tif": 0,
"mfe_ts": "2026-05-13 09:45:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.001775,
"sigma_d": 0.03023026,
"eval_end": "2026-07-04 05:30:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.050002,
"max_close": 2321.56,
"min_close": 1518.97,
"eval_start": "2026-05-13 09:40:00+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 90,
"mew_days_used": 120,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.051296,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.013494,
"activation_price": 2321.56,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 4976,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.015115,
"scoring_candle_tf": "2w",
"tif_total_aggregated": 5,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 5,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 0,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 5
} 