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Passport #79955 · May 13, 2026 · 09:40 UTC · scored as of Oct 16, 2026 · 14:30 UTC
IA@i_am_jackis
May 13, 2026 · 09:40 UTC
One of the best risk-on signals is $Copper leading & outperforming
It has just broken out of a two decade long channel/range, successfully retested it & now hitting new ATHs
It has also been outperforming $Gold too for 3 months straight
Historically, this has caused bull runs in crypto and both $BTC & $ETH did thousands of precent during those times
Why fade this? Ego?
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 120 days · Long Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Implicit bullish call on BTC based on copper's historical correlation with crypto bull runs. The 'thousands of percent' reference is historical context, not an explicit target. 'Why fade this?' implies bullish lean but is not a declarative price prediction, so mild_hedge.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC enters a bull run. No explicit horizon attached to the outcome. The post references 'bull runs in crypto' and historical macro correlation with copper — earnest macro register with bullrun language → Signal H base 120.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $81,240 |
| Target | — |
| Duration | 120 days · Long Term |
Scoring
0.09composite Call Rank Score
| Move Score (MQS) | 0.31 |
| Path Score (OCS) | 0.03 |
| Time Score (TIF) | 0.00 |
| Magnitude | 0.31 |
| Max Favorable Move | +1.0% |
| Max Unfavorable Move | −28.9% |
| Candles evaluated | 4976 · 2w |
| Eval window | May 13, 2026 · 09:40 UTC → Jul 4, 2026 · 05:30 UTC |
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | ai_inferred |
| Duration stated (days) | 120 |
| Duration used in scoring | 120 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A->4A |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | none |
| Commitment level | mild_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $81,240 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Merge Flags
asset_mismatch: trueasset_mismatch_chart: COPPERasset_mismatch_claim: BTC
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 23439.82,
"mfe": 808.12,
"mqs": 0.307696,
"ocs": 0.033327,
"tif": 0,
"mfe_ts": "2026-05-14 17:15:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.022763,
"sigma_d": 0.02358048,
"eval_end": "2026-07-04 05:30:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.307696,
"max_close": 81888.4,
"min_close": 58169.81,
"eval_start": "2026-05-13 09:40:00+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 90,
"mew_days_used": 120,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.367731,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.090946,
"activation_price": 81240.01,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 4976,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.027051,
"scoring_candle_tf": "2w",
"tif_total_aggregated": 5,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 5,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 0,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 5
} 