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Passport #139356 · Jun 24, 2026 · 11:17 UTC · scored as of Oct 16, 2026 · 14:30 UTC
Coins like Cardano $ADA or $DOT have broken their all time support levels and are never coming back imo.
Not particulary speaking about these two. Could be memecoins & VC coins or influencer coins, this cleansing is a good thing overall.
The space is entirely getting rid of all tickers that are not meant to be, which will lead to a capital concentration in a handful of productive assets in the future.
Capital concentration was something this cycle entirely missed and rather had a complete capital dispersion
General rulebook:
Assets that will lose their 2022 lows are likely more dead than not. Those few which will hold those levels have a chance of recovery
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
| Asset | DOT |
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | DOT |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 120 days · Long Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Author states DOT has broken ATL support and is 'never coming back imo' — clearly bearish/down directional call. 'imo' softens to mild_hedge. No specific price target given.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = DOT never recovers (permanent bearish). Same 'never coming back' / broken ATL support framing as ADA — Signal H (bear market / cycle-level outcome), base 120.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | DOT |
| Direction | Short |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $0.897 |
| Target | — |
| Duration | 120 days · Long Term |
Scoring
This call is directional live — no final score yet.
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | ai_inferred |
| Duration stated (days) | 120 |
| Duration used in scoring | 120 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A->4A |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | none |
| Commitment level | mild_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $0.897 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Merge Flags
asset_mismatch: trueasset_mismatch_chart: CARDANOasset_mismatch_claim: DOT
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 0.016,
"mfe": 0.102,
"mqs": 0.774674,
"ocs": 0.863675,
"tif": 1,
"mfe_ts": "2026-06-28 23:00:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.254541,
"sigma_d": 0.03601921,
"eval_end": "2026-07-05 05:30:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.774674,
"max_close": 0.907,
"min_close": 0.801,
"eval_start": "2026-06-24 11:17:17+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 90,
"mew_days_used": 120,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 1.490209,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.723222,
"activation_price": 0.897,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 1033,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.076306,
"scoring_candle_tf": "2w",
"tif_total_aggregated": 2,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 2,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 2,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 2
}