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Passport #81918 · May 25, 2026 · 08:20 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC
DE@decodejar
May 25, 2026 · 08:20 UTC
If Bitcoin closes the month above 72.5, and/or more broadly just holds the lower channel boundary then we're good. I'm still bullish.
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Conditional |
| Activation | Active at Trigger |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger | $72,500 |
| Trigger Operator | Reclaim |
AI Reasoning
Trigger is a monthly close above 72.5 (interpreted as 72,500 for BTC), framing acceptance above as bullish continuation. No numeric target stated. Single claim with a mild bullish stance ('still bullish' but conditional).
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC continues bullish after holding the lower channel boundary. Per §0.5, 'closes the month' is trigger language, not an outcome horizon. No explicit timeframe bound to the bullish continuation outcome. No bounce/urgency/macro signal fires → DEFAULT 30.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Activation | Active at Trigger |
| Activation price | $75,930 |
| Target | — |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger level | $72,500 |
| Trigger operator | Reclaim |
| Conditional operator | Category C — Reclaim/Acceptance/Flip Bullish |
| Trigger hit | Yes |
| Trigger time | May 27, 2026 · 00:00 UTC |
Scoring
0.07composite Call Rank Score
| Move Score (MQS) | 0.24 |
| Path Score (OCS) | 0.01 |
| Time Score (TIF) | 0.00 |
| Magnitude | 0.24 |
| Max Favorable Move | +0.3% |
| Max Unfavorable Move | −23.5% |
| Candles evaluated | 2881 · 1d |
| Eval window | May 27, 2026 · 00:00 UTC → Jun 26, 2026 · 00:00 UTC |
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | ai_inferred |
| Duration stated (days) | 30 |
| Duration used in scoring | 30 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3B |
| Merge source | post_only |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | none |
| Commitment level | mild_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $77,314 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 17815,
"mfe": 244.14,
"mqs": 0.244749,
"ocs": 0.013519,
"tif": 0,
"mfe_ts": "2026-05-27 12:30:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.014717,
"sigma_d": 0.01587178,
"eval_end": "2026-06-26 00:00:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.244749,
"max_close": 76085.01,
"min_close": 58290.17,
"eval_start": "2026-05-27 00:00:00+00:00",
"trigger_p0": 75930.01,
"trigger_ts": "2026-05-27 00:00:00+00:00",
"active_mode": false,
"trigger_hit": true,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 30,
"mew_days_used": 30,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.280705,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.068246,
"activation_price": 75930.01,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 2881,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.011454,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
"tif_total_aggregated": 31,
"trigger_candle_index": 1,
"aggregated_candles_count": 31,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 0,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 31
}