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Passport #141208 · Jun 27, 2026 · 00:31 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC
DE@decodejar
Jun 27, 2026 · 00:31 UTC
Bitcoin below the 200 week sma, would be cool if it closes above. Classic bear market signs everywhere. Sentiment in the gutter. Scrolling Crypto Twitter is doom scrolling by default. Strategy's Stretch STRC under pressure. Non-stop FUD. Dip from 59k to 58k three weeks later looks similar to the marginal lower low two weeks after the 2022 final capitulation. Other technical similarities, weekly RSI bullish divergence, etc, and yet for some reason still unconvincing. 50-60 range looks like bottoming area. We're already in it. Current 58k low could be durable with recovery of 200 week sma. Plan is to buy some crypto then get off this app until the weekly close, touch grass, and relax.
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Bullish bottoming thesis with plan to buy and expectation of recovery above 200 week SMA. The 50-60k range is described as bottoming area (current price zone), not an upside target. 58k and 59k are current/recent price references, not predicted destinations. No explicit upside target stated. Hedged language ('could be durable', 'looks like') = mild_hedge.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC bottoms and recovers from the 50-60k range. No explicit horizon phrase is bound to the outcome. 'Bottoming area' and 'current 58k low could be durable' are bottom-call language → Signal B2 base 30; no urgency cues (↓14) or macro/cycle framing (↑60) present, so stays at base 30.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $59,978 |
| Target | — |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
Scoring
This call is directional live — no final score yet.
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | ai_inferred |
| Duration stated (days) | 30 |
| Duration used in scoring | 30 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A |
| Merge source | post_only |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | none |
| Commitment level | mild_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $59,978 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 2177.8,
"mfe": 3484,
"mqs": 0.539939,
"ocs": 0.615352,
"tif": 0.777778,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-04 19:45:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.259806,
"sigma_d": 0.02678661,
"eval_end": "2026-07-05 05:30:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.539939,
"max_close": 63439.87,
"min_close": 58169.81,
"eval_start": "2026-06-27 00:31:02+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 30,
"mew_days_used": 30,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.776396,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.548219,
"activation_price": 59977.99,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 788,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.074817,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
"tif_total_aggregated": 9,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 9,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 7,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 9
}