Call Audit

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Passport #141207 · Jun 27, 2026 · 00:30 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC

@decodejar

Jun 27, 2026 · 00:30 UTC

Bitcoin below the 200 week sma, would be cool if it closes above. Classic bear market signs everywhere. Sentiment in the gutter. Scrolling Crypto Twitter is doom scrolling by default. Strategy's Stretch STRC under pressure. Non-stop FUD. Dip from 59k to 58k three weeks later looks similar to the marginal lower low two weeks after the 2022 final capitulation. Other technical similarities, weekly RSI bullish divergence, etc, and yet for some reason still unconvincing. 50-60 range looks like bottoming area. We're already in it. Current 57k low could be durable with recovery of 200 week sma. Plan is to buy some crypto then get off this app until the weekly close, touch grass, and relax.

Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

Asset

BTC

Stage 2 · Type Classification

Type	Conditional
Activation	Active at Trigger

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

Asset	BTC
Direction	Long
Commitment	heavy_hedge
Duration	60 days · Medium Term
Trigger	—
Trigger Operator	Reclaim

AI Reasoning

Single conditional claim: recovery/reclaim of the 200 week SMA would make the 57k low durable (bullish). The 200w SMA is a named technical level but no explicit numeric trigger value is stated in the post, so trigger is null. No numeric target stated. Hedged language ('could be durable', 'would be cool').

Duration reasoning

Outcome = BTC recovers from the 50-60k bottoming area after reclaiming the 200 week SMA. No explicit horizon attached to the outcome. The post uses bottom-call language ('bottoming area', 'current 57k low could be durable', 'recovery') → Signal B2 base 30, with macro/HTF framing ('200 week SMA', 'similar to 2022 final capitulation', 'bear market') pushing ↑ to 60.

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

No chart analysis for this call.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

Asset	BTC
Direction	Long
Activation	Active at Trigger
Activation price	$59,978
Target	—
Duration	60 days · Medium Term
Trigger level	—
Trigger operator	Reclaim
Conditional operator	Category C — Reclaim/Acceptance/Flip Bullish
Trigger hit	No

Scoring

This call is conditional pending — no final score yet.

Duration Resolution

Duration source	ai_inferred
Duration stated (days)	60
Duration used in scoring	—

Pipeline

Pipeline path	3B
Merge source	post_only
Direction source	post_text
Target source	none
Commitment level	heavy_hedge
Spot price at post	$59,978
Stage 0 passed	Yes

Review Provenance

Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.

Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mqs": null,
  "ocs": null,
  "tif": null,
  "status": "untriggered_no_level",
  "eval_end": "2026-07-05 05:30:00+00:00",
  "magnitude": null,
  "eval_start": "2026-06-27 00:30:35+00:00",
  "trigger_ts": null,
  "trigger_hit": false,
  "review_flags": {},
  "accuracy_score": null,
  "dir_target_score": null,
  "candles_evaluated": 788
}