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Passport #141206 · Jun 27, 2026 · 00:05 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC
DE@decodejar
Jun 27, 2026 · 00:05 UTC
𝕏 Bitcoin below the 200 week sma, would be cool if it closes above. Classic bear market signs everywhere. Sentiment in the gutter. Scrolling Crypto Twitter is doom scrolling by default. Strategy's Stretch STRC under pressure. Non-stop FUD. Dip from 59k to 57k three weeks later looks similar to the marginal lower low two weeks after the 2022 final capitulation. Other technical similarities, weekly RSI bullish divergence, etc, and yet for some reason still unconvincing. 50-60 range looks like bottoming area. We're already in it. Current 57k low could be durable with recovery of 200 week sma. Plan is to buy some crypto then get off this app until the weekly close, touch grass, and relax.
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Conditional |
| Activation | Active at Trigger |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | Reclaim |
AI Reasoning
The conditional claim is that the 57k low could be durable IF BTC reclaims the 200 week SMA. The 200 week SMA is not given as a numeric value in the post, so trigger is null. The direction after reclaim is up (durable low, recovery). No specific target price stated. 57k is referenced as the current low, not a target.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC recovers from 57k low (durable bottom/recovery). The trigger is reclaiming the 200 week SMA; no horizon phrase is bound to the outcome itself. '50-60 range looks like bottoming area' and 'current 57k low could be durable' are bottom-call language → Signal B2 base 30; no tiebreaker cues fire.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Activation | Active at Trigger |
| Activation price | $60,114 |
| Target | — |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger level | — |
| Trigger operator | Reclaim |
| Conditional operator | Category C — Reclaim/Acceptance/Flip Bullish |
| Trigger hit | No |
Scoring
This call is conditional pending — no final score yet.
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | ai_inferred |
| Duration stated (days) | 30 |
| Duration used in scoring | — |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3B |
| Merge source | post_only |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | none |
| Commitment level | mild_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $60,114 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mqs": null,
"ocs": null,
"tif": null,
"status": "untriggered_no_level",
"eval_end": "2026-07-05 05:30:00+00:00",
"magnitude": null,
"eval_start": "2026-06-27 00:05:11+00:00",
"trigger_ts": null,
"trigger_hit": false,
"review_flags": {},
"accuracy_score": null,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 790
}