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Passport #141205 · Jun 27, 2026 · 00:03 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC
DE@decodejar
Jun 27, 2026 · 00:03 UTC
Price below the 200 week sma, would be cool if it closes above. Classic bear market signs everywhere. Sentiment in the gutter. Scrolling Crypto Twitter is doom scrolling by default. Strategy's Stretch STRC under pressure. Non-stop FUD. Dip from 59k to 57k three weeks later looks similar to the marginal lower low two weeks after the 2022 final capitulation. Other technical similarities, weekly RSI bullish divergence, etc, and yet for some reason still unconvincing. 50-60 range looks like bottoming area. We're already in it. Current 57k low could be durable with recovery of 200 week sma. Plan is to buy some crypto then get off this app until the weekly close, touch grass, and relax.
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 60 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Post identifies 50-60k as bottoming area with current 57k low potentially durable, expecting recovery above 200 week SMA. The 50-60k range is a bottoming/support zone, not an upward target. No explicit upward price targets stated. Hedged language ('could be durable', 'looks like') = mild_hedge.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC recovers from the 50-60k bottoming area. No explicit horizon attached to the outcome. 'Bottoming area,' 'current 57k low could be durable with recovery,' and 'weekly RSI bullish divergence' are bottom-call/trend-reversal cues → Signal B2; paired with HTF (weekly) and accumulation-zone framing ('50-60 range looks like bottoming area') → ↑ to 60.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $60,114 |
| Target | — |
| Duration | 60 days · Medium Term |
Scoring
This call is directional live — no final score yet.
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | ai_inferred |
| Duration stated (days) | 60 |
| Duration used in scoring | 60 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A |
| Merge source | post_only |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | none |
| Commitment level | mild_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $60,114 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 2313.81,
"mfe": 3347.99,
"mqs": 0.589554,
"ocs": 0.59133,
"tif": 1,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-04 19:45:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.178344,
"sigma_d": 0.02236389,
"eval_end": "2026-07-05 05:30:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.589554,
"max_close": 63439.87,
"min_close": 58169.81,
"eval_start": "2026-06-27 00:03:16+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 59,
"mew_days_used": 60,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.890512,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.589807,
"activation_price": 60114,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 790,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.062542,
"scoring_candle_tf": "3d",
"tif_total_aggregated": 3,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 3,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 3,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 3
}