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Passport #136383 · Jun 9, 2026 · 10:35 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC
DE@decodejar
Jun 9, 2026 · 10:35 UTC
Realised price 54k, Average price 52k, SMA 300W 54k, EMA 300W 58k, 2024 weekly closing lows 54k, 2024 wick lows 50k. Electrical Cost of Production 50k. Lots of 50s. 15%-ish lower for BTC? Plus a wick I'll probably sleep through and we're done? Is that it? What did I miss?
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Post lists multiple support/floor levels clustering around 50-54k and explicitly asks '15%-ish lower for BTC?' indicating a down call. The 50-54k zone represents the predicted destination with a wick to 50k. Phrased as a question with 'probably' = mild hedge.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC drops ~15% to the 50-54k zone. No outcome-anchored horizon phrase present; 'probably sleep through' and 'we're done' are rhetorical, not temporal. No bounce/bottom/urgency/macro signal fires → DEFAULT 30.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $62,701 |
| Target | $50,000 – $54,000 |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
Scoring
0.45composite Call Rank Score
| Move Score (MQS) | 0.52 |
| Path Score (OCS) | 0.52 |
| Time Score (TIF) | 0.42 |
| Magnitude | 0.52 |
| Max Favorable Move | +7.8% |
| Max Unfavorable Move | −7.3% |
| Candles evaluated | 2880 · 1d |
| Eval window | Jun 9, 2026 · 10:35 UTC → Jul 9, 2026 · 10:35 UTC |
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | ai_inferred |
| Duration stated (days) | 30 |
| Duration used in scoring | 30 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A |
| Merge source | post_only |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | post_text |
| Commitment level | mild_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $62,701 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 4590.9,
"mfe": 4901.06,
"mqs": 0.516517,
"ocs": 0.516338,
"tif": 0.419355,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-01 01:15:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.34328,
"sigma_d": 0.02313665,
"eval_end": "2026-07-09 10:35:27+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.516517,
"max_close": 67292.14,
"min_close": 58169.81,
"eval_start": "2026-06-09 10:35:27+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": true,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 30,
"mew_days_used": 30,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.726738,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.448872,
"activation_price": 62701.25,
"dir_target_score": 0.52078,
"candles_evaluated": 2880,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.107556,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
"tif_total_aggregated": 31,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 31,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 13,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 31
}