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Passport #135495 · Jun 22, 2026 · 06:24 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC

@decodejar

Jun 22, 2026 · 06:24 UTC

Bitcoin wave 2 double three formation (WXY) with two tailend options. Possible bottom via blue path is less likely and needs to prove itself. Most likely outcome is least one more low, or grind into the low 50s via pink path to complete wave Y. Ideal 1:1 extension target 52.3k. https://t.co/mviG57dbSe

🤖Ask the AI Analyst about this call →@decodejar's BTC record, on demand — every answer traceable to scored posts

Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

Asset

BTC

Stage 2 · Type Classification

Type	Directional
Activation	Active Immediately

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

Asset	BTC
Direction	Short
Commitment	mild_hedge
Duration	30 days · Medium Term
Trigger	—
Trigger Operator	—

AI Reasoning

Bearish call with 'most likely' another low into low 50s, ideal 1:1 extension target stated as 52.3k. 'Most likely' and 'ideal' language indicate mild hedge. Low 50s range mentioned but specific target 52.3k is the explicit prediction.

Duration reasoning

Outcome = BTC declines to low 50s / 52.3k. No outcome-anchored horizon phrase present; Elliott Wave pattern language ('wave 2', 'WXY', 'extension target') describes chart structure, not a timeframe. No bounce, urgency, or macro signal fires → DEFAULT 30.

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

No chart analysis for this call.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

Asset	BTC
Direction	Short
Activation	Active Immediately
Activation price	$64,124
Target	$52,300 – $52,300
Duration	30 days · Medium Term

Scoring

0.65composite Call Rank Score

Move Score (MQS)	0.74
Path Score (OCS)	0.69
Time Score (TIF)	0.74
Magnitude	0.74
Max Favorable Move	+9.9%
Max Unfavorable Move	−4.4%
Candles evaluated	2880 · 1d
Eval window	Jun 22, 2026 · 06:24 UTC → Jul 22, 2026 · 06:24 UTC

Duration Resolution

Duration source	ai_inferred
Duration stated (days)	30
Duration used in scoring	30

Pipeline

Pipeline path	3A->4A
Merge source	merged
Direction source	post_text
Target source	post_text
Commitment level	mild_hedge
Spot price at post	$64,124
Stage 0 passed	Yes

Review Provenance

Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.

Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mae": 2832.15,
  "mfe": 6323.81,
  "mqs": 0.74058,
  "ocs": 0.690677,
  "tif": 0.741935,
  "mfe_ts": "2026-07-01 01:15:00+00:00",
  "abs_mag": 0.423075,
  "sigma_d": 0.02465886,
  "eval_end": "2026-07-22 06:24:23+00:00",
  "magnitude": 0.74058,
  "max_close": 66944.4,
  "min_close": 58169.81,
  "eval_start": "2026-06-22 06:24:23+00:00",
  "trigger_p0": null,
  "trigger_ts": null,
  "active_mode": false,
  "score_final": true,
  "trigger_hit": null,
  "review_flags": {},
  "sigma_d_days": 30,
  "mew_days_used": 30,
  "mqs_raw_ratio": 1.349306,
  "target_hit_ts": null,
  "accuracy_score": 0.649067,
  "activation_price": 64124,
  "dir_target_score": 0.503568,
  "candles_evaluated": 2880,
  "expected_move_mqs": 0.073088,
  "scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
  "tif_total_aggregated": 31,
  "trigger_candle_index": null,
  "aggregated_candles_count": 31,
  "tif_favorable_aggregated": 23,
  "candles_evaluated_aggregated": 31
}