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Call Audit
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Passport #166119 · Jul 25, 2026 · 07:37 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC
$LINK is showing strength… but the real move could be down.
Price is now testing the $8.35 support zone while sitting right on the rising trendline and 200 EMA.
Lose this area and the bullish structure starts to break, opening the door toward $7.79 and potentially $7.05.
For now, this looks like a key make-or-break zone.
DYOR, NFA
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
| Asset | LINK |
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Conditional |
| Activation | Active at Trigger |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | LINK |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | heavy_hedge |
| Duration | 14 days · Short Term |
| Trigger | $8.35 |
| Trigger Operator | Break Below |
AI Reasoning
8.35 is the trigger level that must be lost to activate the bearish scenario. Targets 7.79 and 7.05 are the predicted downside destinations after the break. Hedged language ('could', 'potentially') indicates heavy hedge.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = LINK drops to $7.79 / $7.05 after losing $8.35 support. Per §0.5, no temporal phrase is attached to the outcome (only trigger language around the support zone). No bounce, urgency, or macro signal fires → DEFAULT 30.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | LINK |
| Direction | Short |
| Activation | Active at Trigger |
| Activation price | $8.3 |
| Target | $7.05 – $7.79 |
| Duration | 14 days · Short Term |
| Trigger level | $8.35 |
| Trigger operator | Break Below |
| Conditional operator | Category B — Break/Dump/Lose/Close Below |
| Trigger hit | Yes |
| Trigger time | Jul 25, 2026 · 08:00 UTC |
Scoring
0.45composite Call Rank Score
| Move Score (MQS) | 0.53 |
| Path Score (OCS) | 0.40 |
| Time Score (TIF) | 0.56 |
| Magnitude | 0.53 |
| Max Favorable Move | +5.0% |
| Max Unfavorable Move | −7.4% |
| Candles evaluated | 1345 · 8h |
| Eval window | Jul 25, 2026 · 08:00 UTC → Aug 8, 2026 · 08:00 UTC |
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | chart_timeframe |
| Duration stated (days) | 14 |
| Duration used in scoring | 14 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3B->4B_modeB |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | post_text |
| Commitment level | heavy_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $8.3 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 0.617,
"mfe": 0.411,
"mqs": 0.526608,
"ocs": 0.399767,
"tif": 0.55814,
"mfe_ts": "2026-08-01 19:00:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.320185,
"sigma_d": 0.02424886,
"eval_end": "2026-08-08 08:00:00+00:00",
"end_close": 8.262,
"magnitude": 0.526608,
"max_close": 8.857,
"min_close": 7.934,
"eval_start": "2026-07-25 08:00:00+00:00",
"trigger_p0": 8.299,
"trigger_ts": "2026-07-25 08:00:00+00:00",
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": true,
"trigger_hit": true,
"end_close_ts": "2026-08-08 08:00:00+00:00",
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 14,
"mew_days_used": 14,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.747832,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.451175,
"activation_price": 8.299,
"dir_target_score": 0.717092,
"candles_evaluated": 1345,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.066224,
"scoring_candle_tf": "8h",
"tif_total_aggregated": 43,
"trigger_candle_index": 0,
"aggregated_candles_count": 43,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 24,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 43
}