Passport #163036 · Jul 22, 2026 · 20:07 UTC · scored as of Oct 6, 2026 · 14:32 UTC
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Commitment | heavy_hedge |
| Duration | 90 days · Long Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Bullish call with 'breaking out toward $82K' as the target. 'Could still form' and 'could break out' indicates heavy hedging. The 15% up from bottom is context, not a target.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC breaks out toward $82K. 'Over the coming months' is bound to the outcome. D = 2026-07-22; 'coming months' → 90 days per §3.2 table.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 360.58,
"mfe": 382.44,
"mqs": 0.42488,
"ocs": 0.51471,
"tif": 0.5,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-23 00:30:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.015329,
"sigma_d": 0.02097207,
"eval_end": "2026-07-23 05:15:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.42488,
"max_close": 66253.58,
"min_close": 65616.48,
"eval_start": "2026-07-22 20:07:30+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 90,
"mew_days_used": 90,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.553177,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.36373,
"activation_price": 65930.7,
"dir_target_score": 0.020093,
"candles_evaluated": 37,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.010486,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1w",
"tif_total_aggregated": 2,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 2,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 1,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 2
}