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Passport #160833 · Jul 20, 2026 · 05:41 UTC · scored as of Oct 6, 2026 · 14:32 UTC

@cryptorphic1

Jul 20, 2026 · 05:41 UTC

#Bitcoin has now closed three consecutive weekly green candles, but price is still trading below the key weekly resistance at $65,776. For me, this level remains the line in the sand. Until BTC can reclaim and close above $65.8K on the weekly timeframe, my higher-timeframe bias stays bearish. A rejection from here could lead to another short-term pullback. That said, I'm not expecting a major move before the monthly candle closes.

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Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

Asset

BTC

Stage 2 · Type Classification

Type	Conditional
Activation	Active at Trigger

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

Asset	BTC
Direction	Long
Commitment	mild_hedge
Duration	90 days · Long Term
Trigger	$65,800
Trigger Operator	Reclaim / Flip Bullish

AI Reasoning

Trigger is a weekly close above $65.8K which would flip bias bullish (reclaim). No numeric target stated for the upside scenario. Single claim as the bearish side is the default state, not a separate prediction.

Duration reasoning

Outcome = BTC reclaims $65.8K and bullish bias flips. Per §0.5, 'weekly close' is on the trigger and 'before the monthly candle closes' is a negative expectation about the setup period, not an outcome-bound horizon. Trend reversal/reclaim framing → Signal B2 base 30.

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

No chart analysis for this call.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

Asset	BTC
Direction	Long
Activation	Active at Trigger
Activation price	$64,212
Target	—
Duration	90 days · Long Term
Trigger level	$65,800
Trigger operator	Reclaim / Flip Bullish
Conditional operator	Category C — Reclaim/Acceptance/Flip Bullish
Trigger hit	No

Scoring

This call is conditional pending — no final score yet.

Duration Resolution

Duration source	chart_timeframe
Duration stated (days)	90
Duration used in scoring	—

Pipeline

Pipeline path	3B->4B_modeB
Merge source	merged
Direction source	post_text
Target source	none
Commitment level	mild_hedge
Spot price at post	$64,212
Stage 0 passed	Yes

Review Provenance

Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.

Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mqs": null,
  "ocs": null,
  "tif": null,
  "status": "untriggered",
  "eval_end": "2026-07-20 19:45:00+00:00",
  "magnitude": null,
  "eval_start": "2026-07-20 05:41:48+00:00",
  "trigger_ts": null,
  "trigger_hit": false,
  "review_flags": {},
  "accuracy_score": null,
  "dir_target_score": null,
  "candles_evaluated": 57
}