← Back to @cryptorphic1Call Audit
Every scored call is fully auditable
Passport #143949 · Jul 2, 2026 · 16:53 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC
CR@cryptorphic1
Jul 2, 2026 · 16:53 UTC
ethereum:0x7fc66500c84a76ad7e9c93437bfc5ac33e2ddae9 – Long Setup
I've been watching the current breakout area closely today. In my view, this zone is significant as price is attempting to break above the descending trendline while reclaiming the $86.30 - $86.50 resistance area.
I'm personally interested in the long side if AAVE can hold above the breakout zone. A successful retest would give buyers a good opportunity to push price higher.
Upside levels I'm watching:
TP1: $88.85
TP2: $92.50
TP3: $96.00
TP4: $99.20
Stop Loss: $82.54
As always, this is just how I'm personally viewing the market and managing my own trades. Always manage your risk accordingly.
DYOR, NFA
#AAVE
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Conditional |
| Activation | Active at Trigger |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | AAVE |
| Direction | Long |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 3 days · Short Term |
| Trigger | $86.3 |
| Trigger Operator | Hold Above |
AI Reasoning
Trigger is holding above the $86.30-$86.50 reclaimed zone (used low end 86.30 for up call). Targets TP1-TP4 form the predicted upside range after the hold condition is confirmed. Single claim with mild hedging ('interested in the long side if').
Duration reasoning
Outcome = AAVE pushes higher to TP1-TP4 targets after holding above breakout zone. Per §0.5, 'today' is bound to the analyst's observation activity, not the outcome. No horizon phrase is attached to the upside targets. No bounce/bottom/urgency/macro signal fires → DEFAULT 30.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | AAVE |
| Direction | Long |
| Activation | Active at Trigger |
| Activation price | $86.7 |
| Target | $88.85 – $99.2 |
| Duration | 3 days · Short Term |
| Trigger level | $86.3 |
| Trigger operator | Hold Above |
| Conditional operator | Category A — Hold/Defend/Maintain/Support |
| Trigger hit | Yes |
| Trigger time | Jul 2, 2026 · 22:00 UTC |
Scoring
0.71composite Call Rank Score
| Move Score (MQS) | 0.64 |
| Path Score (OCS) | 0.74 |
| Time Score (TIF) | 0.82 |
| Magnitude | 0.64 |
| Max Favorable Move | +5.0% |
| Max Unfavorable Move | −1.8% |
| Candles evaluated | 289 · 1h |
| Eval window | Jul 2, 2026 · 22:00 UTC → Jul 5, 2026 · 22:00 UTC |
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | chart_timeframe |
| Duration stated (days) | 3 |
| Duration used in scoring | 3 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3B->4B_modeB |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | post_text |
| Commitment level | mild_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $87.56 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 1.57,
"mfe": 4.37,
"mqs": 0.641658,
"ocs": 0.735678,
"tif": 0.821918,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-03 14:45:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.622832,
"sigma_d": 0.05878946,
"eval_end": "2026-07-05 22:00:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.641658,
"max_close": 90.81,
"min_close": 85.7,
"eval_start": "2026-07-02 22:00:00+00:00",
"trigger_p0": 86.7,
"trigger_ts": "2026-07-02 22:00:00+00:00",
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": true,
"trigger_hit": true,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 14,
"mew_days_used": 3,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 1.026269,
"target_hit_ts": "2026-07-03 14:15:00+00:00",
"accuracy_score": 0.705522,
"activation_price": 86.7,
"dir_target_score": 1,
"candles_evaluated": 289,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.049114,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1h",
"tif_total_aggregated": 73,
"trigger_candle_index": 5,
"aggregated_candles_count": 73,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 60,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 73
} 