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Passport #143318 · Jul 1, 2026 · 11:36 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC
CR@cryptorphic1
Jul 1, 2026 · 11:36 UTC
Bitcoin is still trading inside this range and holding above the key support zone.
Every bounce is getting rejected below the descending trendline and the 200 MA, keeping the short-term trend bearish.
As long as support holds, we could see another relief bounce. But a breakdown below this support would likely open the door for a bigger move to the downside.
Keep an eye on this range. The next breakout could decide Bitcoin's next major move. 👀
#Bitcoin bitcoin:native
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Conditional |
| Activation | Active at Trigger |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Commitment | heavy_hedge |
| Duration | 3 days · Short Term |
| Trigger | $58,300 |
| Trigger Operator | Hold Above |
AI Reasoning
Claim 1: 'As long as support holds, we could see another relief bounce' — hold-trigger for upside bounce. No numeric trigger or target stated.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC sees a relief bounce after support holds. No explicit horizon attached to the outcome. 'Relief bounce' language triggers Signal B, base 14; no ↓ or ↑ tiebreakers fire.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
Gate 1: asset BTC/USDT and 1h timeframe extracted. Gate 2: asset matches Stage 3. Gate 3: visible pink support zone with distinct lower boundary line qualifies as trigger structure. Gate 4: down claim is consistent with break-below the support zone.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Activation | Active at Trigger |
| Activation price | $58,538 |
| Target | — |
| Duration | 3 days · Short Term |
| Trigger level | $58,300 |
| Trigger operator | Hold Above |
| Conditional operator | Category A — Hold/Defend/Maintain/Support |
| Trigger hit | Yes |
| Trigger time | Jul 1, 2026 · 13:00 UTC |
Scoring
0.90composite Call Rank Score
| Move Score (MQS) | 0.87 |
| Path Score (OCS) | 0.95 |
| Time Score (TIF) | 0.99 |
| Magnitude | 0.87 |
| Max Favorable Move | +7.6% |
| Max Unfavorable Move | −0.4% |
| Candles evaluated | 289 · 1h |
| Eval window | Jul 1, 2026 · 13:00 UTC → Jul 4, 2026 · 13:00 UTC |
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | chart_timeframe |
| Duration stated (days) | 3 |
| Duration used in scoring | 3 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3B->4B_modeA |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | none |
| Commitment level | heavy_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $58,678 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Merge Flags
trigger_from_chart: true
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 212.01,
"mfe": 4441.85,
"mqs": 0.868017,
"ocs": 0.954444,
"tif": 0.986301,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-03 21:15:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.799923,
"sigma_d": 0.02447527,
"eval_end": "2026-07-04 13:00:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.868017,
"max_close": 62827.73,
"min_close": 58538.01,
"eval_start": "2026-07-01 13:00:00+00:00",
"trigger_p0": 58538.01,
"trigger_ts": "2026-07-01 13:00:00+00:00",
"active_mode": false,
"trigger_hit": true,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 14,
"mew_days_used": 3,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 2.025083,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.902171,
"activation_price": 58538.01,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 289,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.03747,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1h",
"tif_total_aggregated": 73,
"trigger_candle_index": 1,
"aggregated_candles_count": 73,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 72,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 73
} 