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Call Audit
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Passport #161501 · Jul 21, 2026 · 08:30 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC
After 5 months of positive momentum, the Momentum Whale Inflow Ratio has flipped negative for the first time in 2026.
Historically, declining whale inflows to exchanges mean less sell pressure, A bullish signal for $BTC in the short term. https://t.co/QqkAPsJz4Q
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 14 days · Short Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Author states declining whale inflows are 'a bullish signal for $BTC in the short term' — clear up call. No price targets stated. Framing via historical pattern with 'mean less sell pressure' is a mild hedge rather than a firm declarative prediction.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC moves up. 'In the short term' is a relative phrase bound to the outcome, but maps to Signal B/C territory; no bounce or urgency cues present, so 'short term' without further qualification routes to Signal C base 14 (imminent directional call with no medium/long-term framing).
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $66,216 |
| Target | — |
| Duration | 14 days · Short Term |
Scoring
0.26composite Call Rank Score
| Move Score (MQS) | 0.75 |
| Path Score (OCS) | 0.16 |
| Time Score (TIF) | 0.05 |
| Magnitude | 0.75 |
| Max Favorable Move | +1.1% |
| Max Unfavorable Move | −6.0% |
| Candles evaluated | 1345 · 8h |
| Eval window | Jul 21, 2026 · 08:30 UTC → Aug 4, 2026 · 08:30 UTC |
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | ai_inferred |
| Duration stated (days) | 14 |
| Duration used in scoring | 14 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A->4A |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | none |
| Commitment level | mild_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $66,216 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 3940.99,
"mfe": 740.16,
"mqs": 0.748776,
"ocs": 0.158115,
"tif": 0.046512,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-21 14:15:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.074762,
"sigma_d": 0.01618342,
"eval_end": "2026-08-04 08:30:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.748776,
"max_close": 66944.4,
"min_close": 62340.01,
"eval_start": "2026-07-21 08:30:00+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": true,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 14,
"mew_days_used": 14,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 1.381409,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.257041,
"activation_price": 66215.99,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 1345,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.008092,
"scoring_candle_tf": "8h",
"tif_total_aggregated": 43,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 43,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 2,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 43
}