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Passport #155094 · Jul 16, 2026 · 07:30 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC

@cryptopatel

Jul 16, 2026 · 07:30 UTC

$AERO has lost its bullish momentum after breaking below the ascending trendline and confirming the breakdown with a retest around the $0.52 resistance zone. As long as the price remains below this level, the short-term trend stays bearish, with further downside looking likely. Targets: $0.4576 → $0.4236 → $0.3665 Stop Loss: HTF close above $0.5278 #AERO

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Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

Asset

AERO

Stage 2 · Type Classification

Type	Conditional
Activation	Active at Trigger

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

Asset	AERO
Direction	Short
Commitment	mild_hedge
Duration	7 days · Short Term
Trigger	$0.52
Trigger Operator	Hold Below

AI Reasoning

Trigger is $0.52 acting as resistance that must hold (price staying below). Targets $0.4576, $0.4236, $0.3665 are downside destinations after condition holds. Single conditional claim with mild hedge ('looking likely').

Duration reasoning

Outcome = AERO declines to targets ($0.4576 → $0.4236 → $0.3665). The trigger is 'as long as price remains below $0.52'; no horizon phrase is bound to the outcome. No bounce, bottom-call, urgency, or macro signal fires → DEFAULT 30.

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

No chart analysis for this call.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

Asset	AERO
Direction	Short
Activation	Active at Trigger
Activation price	$0.4953
Target	$0.3665 – $0.4576
Duration	7 days · Short Term
Trigger level	$0.52
Trigger operator	Hold Below
Conditional operator	Category A — Hold/Defend/Maintain/Resistance
Trigger hit	Yes
Trigger time	Jul 17, 2026 · 12:00 UTC

Scoring

0.87composite Call Rank Score

Move Score (MQS)	0.75
Path Score (OCS)	0.85
Time Score (TIF)	0.98
Magnitude	0.75
Max Favorable Move	+17.0%
Max Unfavorable Move	−2.9%
Candles evaluated	673 · 4h
Eval window	Jul 17, 2026 · 12:00 UTC → Jul 24, 2026 · 12:00 UTC

Duration Resolution

Duration source	chart_timeframe
Duration stated (days)	7
Duration used in scoring	7

Pipeline

Pipeline path	3B->4B_modeB
Merge source	merged
Direction source	post_text
Target source	post_text
Commitment level	mild_hedge
Spot price at post	$0.4977
Stage 0 passed	Yes

Review Provenance

Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.

Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mae": 0.0144,
  "mfe": 0.0842,
  "mqs": 0.746478,
  "ocs": 0.85309,
  "tif": 0.976744,
  "mfe_ts": "2026-07-23 12:15:00+00:00",
  "abs_mag": 0.923304,
  "sigma_d": 0.05052903,
  "eval_end": "2026-07-24 12:00:00+00:00",
  "magnitude": 0.746478,
  "max_close": 0.4965,
  "min_close": 0.4111,
  "eval_start": "2026-07-17 12:00:00+00:00",
  "trigger_p0": 0.4953,
  "trigger_ts": "2026-07-17 12:00:00+00:00",
  "active_mode": false,
  "score_final": true,
  "trigger_hit": true,
  "review_flags": {},
  "sigma_d_days": 14,
  "mew_days_used": 7,
  "mqs_raw_ratio": 1.372305,
  "target_hit_ts": "2026-07-18 12:30:00+00:00",
  "accuracy_score": 0.874904,
  "activation_price": 0.4953,
  "dir_target_score": 1,
  "candles_evaluated": 673,
  "expected_move_mqs": 0.123878,
  "scoring_candle_tf": "4h",
  "tif_total_aggregated": 43,
  "trigger_candle_index": 7,
  "aggregated_candles_count": 43,
  "tif_favorable_aggregated": 42,
  "candles_evaluated_aggregated": 43
}