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Passport #181416 · Aug 10, 2026 · 18:46 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC
CR@cryptokid
Aug 10, 2026 · 18:46 UTC
The Bitcoin Bull Market will begin at the confirmed breach of ~$70,000 (with volume).
3 different crucial resistances conjoin at the same price mark.
1. 200D moving average. Bear markets have historically ended when BTC broke above it.
2. Multi-cycle support, turned into resistance.
3. A downwards sloping trendline making Bitcoin produce lower highs since October '25.
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Conditional |
| Activation | Active at Trigger |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Commitment | declarative |
| Duration | 90 days · Long Term |
| Trigger | $70,000 |
| Trigger Operator | Break Above |
AI Reasoning
70000 is the break-above trigger that activates the bull market forecast. No specific numeric target stated — just directional bullish continuation. Single claim.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC bull market begins after breach of ~$70K. Per §0.5, the trigger is the confirmed breach; the outcome is the bull market starting. No horizon phrase is bound to the outcome. The outcome is a macro statement ('Bull Market will begin') → Signal H base 120; no tiebreaker cues to move to 60.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Activation | Active at Trigger |
| Activation price | $63,889 |
| Target | — |
| Duration | 90 days · Long Term |
| Trigger level | $70,000 |
| Trigger operator | Break Above |
| Conditional operator | Category B — Break/Pump/Close Above |
| Trigger hit | No |
Scoring
This call is conditional pending — no final score yet.
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | chart_timeframe |
| Duration stated (days) | 90 |
| Duration used in scoring | — |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3B->4B_modeB |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | none |
| Commitment level | declarative |
| Spot price at post | $63,889 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mqs": null,
"ocs": null,
"tif": null,
"status": "untriggered",
"eval_end": "2026-08-10 19:30:00+00:00",
"magnitude": null,
"eval_start": "2026-08-10 18:46:12+00:00",
"trigger_ts": null,
"trigger_hit": false,
"review_flags": {},
"accuracy_score": null,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 3
} 