Call Audit

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Passport #148391 · Jul 10, 2026 · 04:19 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC

@cryptokid

Jul 10, 2026 · 04:19 UTC

I know this might sound crazy right now… But I’m old enough to remember when Ethereum was trading at $4,900. And Bitcoin at $126,000. It sounds too good to be true, BUT, we will RETURN to those prices go BEYOND them during the next bull market. Please be patient.

Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

Asset

ETH

Stage 2 · Type Classification

Type	Directional
Activation	Active Immediately

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

Asset	ETH
Direction	Long
Commitment	declarative
Duration	120 days · Long Term
Trigger	—
Trigger Operator	—

AI Reasoning

Clear up call — forecaster states ETH 'will RETURN' to $4,900 and go beyond during next bull market. 'Will' is declarative language. Target is $4,900 as the explicitly named price to return to; 'beyond' is not quantified so upper bound stays at 4900. BTC $126,000 is mentioned but not the asset of this forecast.

Duration reasoning

Outcome = ETH returns to and exceeds $4,900. 'Next bull market' is earnest macro language with no explicit calendar horizon. Signal H base 120 applies; no ↓ tiebreaker (this is full bull market framing, not altseason alone).

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

No chart analysis for this call.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

Asset	ETH
Direction	Long
Activation	Active Immediately
Activation price	$1,774
Target	$4,900 – $4,900
Duration	120 days · Long Term

Scoring

This call is directional live — no final score yet.

Duration Resolution

Duration source	ai_inferred
Duration stated (days)	120
Duration used in scoring	120

Pipeline

Pipeline path	3A
Merge source	post_only
Direction source	post_text
Target source	post_text
Commitment level	declarative
Spot price at post	$1,774
Stage 0 passed	Yes

Review Provenance

Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.

Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mae": 1.96,
  "mfe": 6.43,
  "mqs": 0.22924,
  "ocs": 0.766379,
  "tif": 0,
  "mfe_ts": "2026-07-10 04:30:00+00:00",
  "abs_mag": 0.008296,
  "sigma_d": 0.0278425,
  "eval_end": "2026-07-10 05:30:00+00:00",
  "magnitude": 0.22924,
  "max_close": 1775.79,
  "min_close": 1772.64,
  "eval_start": "2026-07-10 04:19:10+00:00",
  "trigger_p0": null,
  "trigger_ts": null,
  "active_mode": false,
  "trigger_hit": null,
  "review_flags": {},
  "sigma_d_days": 90,
  "mew_days_used": 120,
  "mqs_raw_ratio": 0.260378,
  "target_hit_ts": null,
  "accuracy_score": 0.250979,
  "activation_price": 1773.9,
  "dir_target_score": 0.000605,
  "candles_evaluated": 5,
  "expected_move_mqs": 0.013921,
  "scoring_candle_tf": "2w",
  "tif_total_aggregated": 1,
  "trigger_candle_index": null,
  "aggregated_candles_count": 1,
  "tif_favorable_aggregated": 0,
  "candles_evaluated_aggregated": 1
}