Passport #182390 · Aug 11, 2026 · 16:45 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | XRP |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Forecaster explicitly says 'there's further down to come' = down direction. 'I feel' softens it to mild_hedge. The $1 reference is a historical price mention (briefly dipped below), not a target. No numeric targets stated.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = XRP continues to decline. No outcome-anchored horizon phrase present. No bounce, bottom-call, urgency, or macro signal fires → DEFAULT 30.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 0.0096,
"mfe": 0.003,
"mqs": 0.273627,
"ocs": 0.23622,
"tif": 0,
"mfe_ts": "2026-08-11 17:00:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.0136,
"sigma_d": 0.01858776,
"eval_end": "2026-08-11 19:30:00+00:00",
"end_close": 1.0108,
"magnitude": 0.273627,
"max_close": 1.0149,
"min_close": 1.0093,
"eval_start": "2026-08-11 16:45:12+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"end_close_ts": "2026-08-11 19:30:00+00:00",
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 30,
"mew_days_used": 30,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.319692,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.130862,
"activation_price": 1.0097,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 11,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.009294,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
"tif_total_aggregated": 1,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 1,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 0,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 1
}