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Passport #181414 · Aug 10, 2026 · 18:41 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC

@cryptoinsightuk

Aug 10, 2026 · 18:41 UTC

In April 2025, when ripple:native was hovering and finding support multiple times around the $1.90 level, we had red liquidity building below us, similarly to how we do now. When we finally lost that $1.90 support, XRP crashed 15.2% in a single day before ultimately recovering and then going on to set a new all time high in July 2025. Now, if we did something similar in terms of move size, we would come down to around $0.85. After the July all time highs, we did come down and sweep the liquidity that was left below. This happened on October 10th. This is one of the things that I've been so vocal about in this cycle currently. I want this liquidity gone below us because, as you can see when I show you from this zoomed out perspective, that's the last bit of liquidity to the downside that we really have on XRP. If, slash, when we take this, the only real thing left will be all time highs. So, I'll be saying that I think we're going to start to head back at least towards the liquidity up at $1.87, and then from there, it looks like we stair step different areas in order to chase liquidity up towards all time highs.

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Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

Asset

XRP

Stage 2 · Type Classification

Type	Directional
Activation	Active Immediately

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

Asset	XRP
Direction	Long
Commitment	mild_hedge
Duration	30 days · Medium Term
Trigger	—
Trigger Operator	—

AI Reasoning

Forecaster states 'I think we're going to start to head back at least towards the liquidity up at $1.87' — clear up direction with $1.87 as explicit target. All-time highs mentioned as further destination but no specific number provided. $0.85 is a hypothetical downside scenario, not in direction of call. 'I think' softens to mild_hedge.

Duration reasoning

Outcome = XRP heads toward $1.87 liquidity then stair-steps to all-time highs. No explicit horizon phrase; the post earnestly frames the ultimate destination as all-time highs within 'this cycle,' triggering Signal H at base 120 with no tiebreaker cues to modulate.

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

Gate 1 passed: XRP/USDT on 1D timeframe. Gate 2 passed: chart asset matches Stage 3 asset. Gate 3 passed: a directional arrow projecting a -15.31% move from current price is visible, indicating a conditional structure. Gate 4 passed: the down projection is consistent with the Stage 3 down claim. Trigger extracted at current support level (~1.018) where the projection arrow originates, but confidence is NOT PASS due to ambiguity between the trigger being 'losing current support' versus simply marking current price.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

Asset	XRP
Direction	Long
Activation	Active Immediately
Activation price	$1.02
Target	$1.87 – $1.87
Duration	30 days · Medium Term

Scoring

This call is directional live — no final score yet.

Duration Resolution

Duration source	chart_timeframe
Duration stated (days)	30
Duration used in scoring	120

Pipeline

Pipeline path	3AA->4A
Merge source	merged
Direction source	post_text
Target source	post_text
Commitment level	mild_hedge
Spot price at post	$1.02
Stage 0 passed	Yes

Review Provenance

Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.

Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mae": 0.0023,
  "mfe": 0.0022,
  "mqs": 0.150262,
  "ocs": 0.478261,
  "tif": 1,
  "mfe_ts": "2026-08-10 19:30:00+00:00",
  "abs_mag": 0.004945,
  "sigma_d": 0.02653685,
  "eval_end": "2026-08-10 19:30:00+00:00",
  "end_close": 1.0205,
  "magnitude": 0.150262,
  "max_close": 1.0205,
  "min_close": 1.0178,
  "eval_start": "2026-08-10 18:41:54+00:00",
  "trigger_p0": null,
  "trigger_ts": null,
  "active_mode": false,
  "score_final": false,
  "trigger_hit": null,
  "end_close_ts": "2026-08-10 19:30:00+00:00",
  "review_flags": {},
  "sigma_d_days": 90,
  "mew_days_used": 120,
  "mqs_raw_ratio": 0.162827,
  "target_hit_ts": null,
  "accuracy_score": 0.408367,
  "activation_price": 1.0183,
  "dir_target_score": 0.002583,
  "candles_evaluated": 4,
  "expected_move_mqs": 0.013268,
  "scoring_candle_tf": "2w",
  "tif_total_aggregated": 1,
  "trigger_candle_index": null,
  "aggregated_candles_count": 1,
  "tif_favorable_aggregated": 1,
  "candles_evaluated_aggregated": 1
}