Passport #143951 · Jul 2, 2026 · 17:03 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 3 days · Short Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Forecaster expects bulls to get flushed (down move) before a bottom forms. 'I think' + 'at some point' = mild hedge. No numeric targets stated for the flush or the bottom.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC flushes down (bulls get liquidated). 'At some point' is vague forward language with no outcome-bound horizon. No bounce, urgency, or macro signal fires → DEFAULT 30.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 1680.15,
"mfe": 532.98,
"mqs": 0.454863,
"ocs": 0.240826,
"tif": 0.236111,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-03 00:45:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.124232,
"sigma_d": 0.02510788,
"eval_end": "2026-07-05 17:03:11+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.454863,
"max_close": 63439.87,
"min_close": 61303.55,
"eval_start": "2026-07-02 17:03:11+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": true,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 14,
"mew_days_used": 3,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.606717,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.264008,
"activation_price": 61781.84,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 288,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.014219,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1h",
"tif_total_aggregated": 72,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 72,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 17,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 72
}