Call Audit

Every scored call is fully auditable

Passport #80822 · May 18, 2026 · 11:40 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC

@cryptogirlnova

May 18, 2026 · 11:40 UTC

Rising CPI expectations is pushing a bit through today. Influences risk-on sentiment quite a bit. Especially alts. Do think Bitcoin is quite a bit "sturdier" though against this. Especially on the weekly I like the current pattern which today could just be a normal retest influenced by CPI or not. There's never a guaranteed in trading and just like our job was to be relatively early on spotting the top in the last uptrend (which we did), So is our job this time to be relatively early on spotting the bottom (not realizing it at $100k+ for example). It's what does make this game so hard though: If you don't believe the bottom is in yet it is most likely that you'll indeed pivot to believing it very late ($100k+ ?). The other end of the spectrum is that if we are wrong and to early on thinking the bottom is in is that we'll be to early to buy more pain (not the best entry either). That being said I'm in the first camp. Saw more resilience in Bitcoin (longer and stronger) along with equities surging that I believe might not be just a typical bear retracement anymore. Hence why I've always called today's dip the ultimate positioning window as the higher low range will be formed. I nonetheless like the odds as exiting was done at ~ $100k last year and higher levels on alts as well. Going to either have a perfect entry now or be to early on this but that's simply the eternal risk to reward loop. I still remain more in bull camp than bear camp since last month. To Valhalla and beyond! 🚀

Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

Asset

BTC

Stage 2 · Type Classification

Type	Directional
Activation	Active Immediately

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

Asset	BTC
Direction	Long
Commitment	mild_hedge
Duration	30 days · Medium Term
Trigger	—
Trigger Operator	—

AI Reasoning

Author explicitly states 'I'm in the first camp' (bottom is in) and 'remain more in bull camp', with 'To Valhalla and beyond' confirming up direction. The $100k references are rhetorical/hypothetical (where late bulls might pivot, or where they exited last year), not the forecaster's predicted target. Mild hedge given language like 'I believe' and acknowledgment of being wrong/early.

Duration reasoning

Outcome = BTC moves up (bottom is in, bull camp). No explicit horizon phrase bound to the outcome. 'Bottom is in' language points to Signal B2 (bottom call/trend reversal), base 30, with no tiebreaker cues to move up or down within the band.

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

No chart analysis for this call.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

Asset	BTC
Direction	Long
Activation	Active Immediately
Activation price	$77,356
Target	—
Duration	30 days · Medium Term

Scoring

0.12composite Call Rank Score

Move Score (MQS)	0.32
Path Score (OCS)	0.04
Time Score (TIF)	0.06
Magnitude	0.32
Max Favorable Move	+1.1%
Max Unfavorable Move	−23.6%
Candles evaluated	2880 · 1d
Eval window	May 18, 2026 · 11:40 UTC → Jun 17, 2026 · 11:40 UTC

Duration Resolution

Duration source	ai_inferred
Duration stated (days)	30
Duration used in scoring	30

Pipeline

Pipeline path	3A
Merge source	post_only
Direction source	post_text
Target source	none
Commitment level	mild_hedge
Spot price at post	$77,356
Stage 0 passed	Yes

Review Provenance

Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.

Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mae": 18225.1,
  "mfe": 843.99,
  "mqs": 0.321235,
  "ocs": 0.04426,
  "tif": 0.064516,
  "mfe_ts": "2026-05-21 08:15:00+00:00",
  "abs_mag": 0.049902,
  "sigma_d": 0.01665825,
  "eval_end": "2026-06-17 11:40:44+00:00",
  "magnitude": 0.321235,
  "max_close": 78137.12,
  "min_close": 59392.25,
  "eval_start": "2026-05-18 11:40:44+00:00",
  "trigger_p0": null,
  "trigger_ts": null,
  "active_mode": false,
  "trigger_hit": null,
  "review_flags": {},
  "sigma_d_days": 30,
  "mew_days_used": 30,
  "mqs_raw_ratio": 0.38748,
  "target_hit_ts": null,
  "accuracy_score": 0.119978,
  "activation_price": 77356.01,
  "dir_target_score": null,
  "candles_evaluated": 2880,
  "expected_move_mqs": 0.028158,
  "scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
  "tif_total_aggregated": 31,
  "trigger_candle_index": null,
  "aggregated_candles_count": 31,
  "tif_favorable_aggregated": 2,
  "candles_evaluated_aggregated": 31
}