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Passport #80018 · May 13, 2026 · 16:08 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC
CR@cryptogirlnova
May 13, 2026 · 16:08 UTC
𝕏 Markets dump a little and everyone makes it look like Bitcoin has chosen its direction.
I get it, at first glance it looks similar. The same "bear range" as the previous on.
Early on I was also in the same camp as you follow the trend until proven otherwise.
Yet slowly, that actually happened. The proven otherwise part.
At the end of the day everything each and every one of us does is speculating. So guarantees don't exist.
Yet slowly to me the current pattern has been turning into a bottoming pattern.
1/ Recovered higher than my bear continuation scenario
2/ Not a brutal sell-off at key levels
3/ Longer in length than a quick bear really as well
Then why are we dropping a bit?
(and yes I say a bit as it's really nothing yet).
Simple, we have yet to make a higher low. A correction to even the low-mid 70s is entirely possible if the bottom is already in.
Basically the opposite with what we have been doing in the downtrend for the past 6 months +
For me it's pretty simple:
I've been relatively early on spotting the downtrend/bear market last year.
Then I go back to looking at structure again. Whenever it shows up.
That could have happened as early as the 80-98k range (it wasn't and I've been vocal on this).
It could have also not happened in the current 60-80k range and even lower.
But it did, at least to me. The 60-80k range has proven to be strong enough to turn things around for me.
So with structure changing, it's now adapting from the next correction being a lower low to a higher low and positioning for it.
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Author describes a bottoming pattern and expects a higher low to form before continuing up — overall bullish lean. The 'low-mid 70s' reference is a potential pullback zone (against the up direction) and not a target. No upside price targets are stated. Hedged language ('to me', 'possible', 'pretty simple') = mild_hedge.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC bottoms and turns higher (bottoming pattern / higher low thesis). No explicit horizon phrase bound to the outcome. The post uses bottom-call and recovery language ('bottoming pattern', 'turn things around', 'higher low') → Signal B2 base 30; no urgency or macro/cycle cues to modulate away from base.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $78,922 |
| Target | — |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
Scoring
0.33composite Call Rank Score
| Move Score (MQS) | 0.89 |
| Path Score (OCS) | 0.14 |
| Time Score (TIF) | 0.10 |
| Magnitude | 0.89 |
| Max Favorable Move | +4.0% |
| Max Unfavorable Move | −25.1% |
| Candles evaluated | 2880 · 1d |
| Eval window | May 13, 2026 · 16:08 UTC → Jun 12, 2026 · 16:08 UTC |
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | ai_inferred |
| Duration stated (days) | 30 |
| Duration used in scoring | 30 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A |
| Merge source | post_only |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | none |
| Commitment level | mild_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $78,922 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 19791.21,
"mfe": 3126.01,
"mqs": 0.887656,
"ocs": 0.136404,
"tif": 0.096774,
"mfe_ts": "2026-05-14 17:15:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.17935,
"sigma_d": 0.01771042,
"eval_end": "2026-06-12 16:08:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.887656,
"max_close": 81888.4,
"min_close": 59392.25,
"eval_start": "2026-05-13 16:08:00+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 30,
"mew_days_used": 30,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 2.186187,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.325046,
"activation_price": 78922.12,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 2880,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.018118,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
"tif_total_aggregated": 31,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 31,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 3,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 31
}