Passport #160868 · Jul 20, 2026 · 11:22 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Commitment | declarative |
| Duration | 120 days · Long Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Post makes an up call on BTC reaching 150k+, framed declaratively ('when it goes to 150k+'). The 50-40k reference is a hypothetical drawdown entry scenario, not a target in the direction of the call — not extracted. 150k+ treated as single target of 150000.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC rises to 150k+. No explicit horizon phrase bound to the outcome. The '150k+' target with earnest macro framing ('playing multiple outcomes', long-term holding thesis) signals a bull market / cycle-level call → Signal H base 120.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 277.52,
"mfe": 1443.72,
"mqs": 0.863949,
"ocs": 0.838767,
"tif": 1,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-20 18:15:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.0513,
"sigma_d": 0.02101458,
"eval_end": "2026-07-20 19:45:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.863949,
"max_close": 65753.05,
"min_close": 64322,
"eval_start": "2026-07-20 11:22:34+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 90,
"mew_days_used": 120,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 1.994722,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.688504,
"activation_price": 64355.28,
"dir_target_score": 0.016321,
"candles_evaluated": 34,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.011246,
"scoring_candle_tf": "2w",
"tif_total_aggregated": 1,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 1,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 1,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 1
}