Passport #154208 · Jul 14, 2026 · 16:04 UTC · scored as of Oct 6, 2026 · 14:32 UTC
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | ETH |
| Direction | Long |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
'ETH season incoming' clearly signals a bullish up call. No specific price targets stated. 'Probably too soon' hedges the timing, making this a mild hedge rather than declarative.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = ETH rises (ETH season). 'ETH season incoming' is a macro/altseason cue → Signal H. No urgency or bounce framing; 'probably too soon' suggests the forecaster acknowledges it may not be immediate, but no tiebreaker pushes to 120. Signal H base 120, but 'ETH season' / altseason rotation alone (no explicit bull/bear market framing) → ↓ to 60.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 11.76,
"mfe": 23.82,
"mqs": 0.561738,
"ocs": 0.669475,
"tif": 1,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-14 22:45:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.058171,
"sigma_d": 0.02924529,
"eval_end": "2026-07-15 05:30:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.561738,
"max_close": 1891.87,
"min_close": 1864.6,
"eval_start": "2026-07-14 16:04:34+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 30,
"mew_days_used": 30,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.824939,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.572346,
"activation_price": 1872.32,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 54,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.015422,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
"tif_total_aggregated": 2,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 2,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 2,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 2
}