Call Audit

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Passport #154126 · Jul 14, 2026 · 09:40 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC

@cryptogirlnova

Jul 14, 2026 · 09:40 UTC

The main thesis that makes Ethereum more interesting vs Bitcoin at certain times is the outperformance window. Bitcoin is the golden standard. Ethereum is a close second. BUT Ethereum right now will go quicker to $4-5k (2.5x) than Bitcoin will go to $150k (2.5x). It ain't about which one is best or which one will go up right now. They will likely BOTH go up simultaneously. But one will outperform the other and give quicker gains at certain time frames. Bitcoin has been the one doing that for quite a while now. Now it will be Ethereum again.

Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

Asset

BTC

Stage 2 · Type Classification

Type	Directional
Activation	Active Immediately

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

Asset	BTC
Direction	Long
Commitment	mild_hedge
Duration	30 days · Medium Term
Trigger	—
Trigger Operator	—

AI Reasoning

Author states BTC will go to $150k (up direction), though the focus is comparing speed vs ETH. 'Will likely both go up' softens the commitment to mild_hedge. $4-5k target belongs to ETH, not BTC, so not extracted.

Duration reasoning

Outcome = BTC rises to $150k. No explicit horizon phrase bound to this outcome. No bounce, urgency, or macro signal fires specifically for this leg — the post frames it as a comparative thesis without a timeframe cue → DEFAULT 30.

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

No chart analysis for this call.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

Asset	BTC
Direction	Long
Activation	Active Immediately
Activation price	$62,564
Target	$150,000 – $150,000
Duration	30 days · Medium Term

Scoring

This call is directional live — no final score yet.

Duration Resolution

Duration source	ai_inferred
Duration stated (days)	30
Duration used in scoring	30

Pipeline

Pipeline path	3A->4A
Merge source	merged
Direction source	post_text
Target source	post_text
Commitment level	mild_hedge
Spot price at post	$62,564
Stage 0 passed	Yes

Review Provenance

Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.

Merge Flags

asset_mismatch: trueasset_mismatch_chart: NON_USD_PAIRasset_mismatch_claim: BTC

Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mae": 29.89,
  "mfe": 2535.82,
  "mqs": 0.920891,
  "ocs": 0.98835,
  "tif": 1,
  "mfe_ts": "2026-07-14 22:30:00+00:00",
  "abs_mag": 0.183435,
  "sigma_d": 0.02186144,
  "eval_end": "2026-07-15 05:30:00+00:00",
  "magnitude": 0.920891,
  "max_close": 65043.98,
  "min_close": 62564.18,
  "eval_start": "2026-07-14 09:40:55+00:00",
  "trigger_p0": null,
  "trigger_ts": null,
  "active_mode": false,
  "score_final": false,
  "trigger_hit": null,
  "review_flags": {},
  "sigma_d_days": 30,
  "mew_days_used": 30,
  "mqs_raw_ratio": 2.53693,
  "target_hit_ts": null,
  "accuracy_score": 0.773169,
  "activation_price": 62564.18,
  "dir_target_score": 0.028361,
  "candles_evaluated": 80,
  "expected_move_mqs": 0.015977,
  "scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
  "tif_total_aggregated": 2,
  "trigger_candle_index": null,
  "aggregated_candles_count": 2,
  "tif_favorable_aggregated": 2,
  "candles_evaluated_aggregated": 2
}