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Passport #180350 · Aug 9, 2026 · 08:22 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC

@calebfranzen

Aug 9, 2026 · 08:22 UTC

Want to be bullish on Bitcoin? Just wait for price to break above the weekly Ichimoku cloud. 80% of signals perfectly marked the start of a sustained bull market. 2019 is the only exception. You don't need to buy the bottom. You just need to own the bull. Hasn't flashed yet. https://t.co/BohoppGyLy

🤖Ask the AI Analyst about this call →@calebfranzen's BTC record, on demand — every answer traceable to scored posts

Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

Asset

BTC

Stage 2 · Type Classification

Type	Conditional
Activation	Active at Trigger

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

Asset	BTC
Direction	Long
Commitment	mild_hedge
Duration	90 days · Long Term
Trigger	$91,983
Trigger Operator	Break Above

AI Reasoning

Break above weekly Ichimoku cloud is the activation trigger for bullish continuation, but no numeric price level is stated. No numeric target given. Single claim.

Duration reasoning

Outcome = BTC enters a sustained bull market after breaking above the weekly Ichimoku cloud. No explicit horizon is attached to the outcome. The predicted outcome is explicitly a 'sustained bull market,' which is a macro statement → Signal H base 120.

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

Chart shows BTC/USD on 1W timeframe matching Stage 3 asset. Ichimoku cloud is clearly visible with upper boundary at 91,983 (labeled on y-axis in red) — this is the break-above trigger for the Category B conditional. Current price at 64,894 is below the cloud, consistent with an upward break-above trigger.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

Asset	BTC
Direction	Long
Activation	Active at Trigger
Activation price	$64,887
Target	—
Duration	90 days · Long Term
Trigger level	$91,983
Trigger operator	Break Above
Conditional operator	Category B — Break/Pump/Close Above
Trigger hit	No

Scoring

This call is conditional pending — no final score yet.

Duration Resolution

Duration source	chart_timeframe
Duration stated (days)	90
Duration used in scoring	—

Pipeline

Pipeline path	3B->4B_modeA
Merge source	merged
Direction source	post_text
Target source	none
Commitment level	mild_hedge
Spot price at post	$64,887
Stage 0 passed	Yes

Review Provenance

Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.

Merge Flags

trigger_from_chart: true

Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mqs": null,
  "ocs": null,
  "tif": null,
  "status": "untriggered",
  "eval_end": "2026-08-09 19:30:00+00:00",
  "magnitude": null,
  "eval_start": "2026-08-09 08:22:01+00:00",
  "trigger_ts": null,
  "trigger_hit": false,
  "review_flags": {
    "trigger_p0_gap_over_20pct": 41.8
  },
  "accuracy_score": null,
  "dir_target_score": null,
  "candles_evaluated": 45
}