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Call Audit
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Passport #155212 · Jul 17, 2026 · 07:08 UTC · scored as of Oct 6, 2026 · 14:32 UTC
Bitcoin is back below its:
🔵 21-day EMA
🔴 55-day EMA
🟢 200-day EMA
All of these moving averages have a negative slope.
The H&S setup that I shared a few days ago is now invalid so long as price is below the 21 & 55-day EMAs.
Might sweep the lows of the bullish RSI div. https://t.co/dmsAlDEbYL
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | heavy_hedge |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Bearish context — price below all key EMAs with negative slopes, invalidated H&S, and 'might sweep the lows' suggests further downside. 'Might' indicates heavy hedge. No specific price target stated for where the lows are.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC sweeps the lows (moves down). 'Might sweep the lows' is vague forward language with no outcome-anchored horizon phrase. No bounce, urgency, or macro signal fires → DEFAULT 30.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $62,905 |
| Target | — |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
Scoring
0.16composite Call Rank Score
| Move Score (MQS) | 0.40 |
| Path Score (OCS) | 0.20 |
| Time Score (TIF) | 0.00 |
| Magnitude | 0.40 |
| Max Favorable Move | +0.6% |
| Max Unfavorable Move | −2.4% |
| Candles evaluated | 89 · 1d |
| Eval window | Jul 17, 2026 · 07:08 UTC → Jul 18, 2026 · 05:15 UTC |
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | chart_timeframe |
| Duration stated (days) | 30 |
| Duration used in scoring | 30 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A->4A |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | none |
| Commitment level | heavy_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $62,905 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 1483.08,
"mfe": 367.35,
"mqs": 0.399573,
"ocs": 0.198521,
"tif": 0,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-17 14:00:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.026725,
"sigma_d": 0.02140667,
"eval_end": "2026-07-18 05:15:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.399573,
"max_close": 64259.73,
"min_close": 62568.18,
"eval_start": "2026-07-17 07:08:10+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 30,
"mew_days_used": 30,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.510114,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.156205,
"activation_price": 62904.91,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 89,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.011448,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
"tif_total_aggregated": 2,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 2,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 0,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 2
}