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Passport #81878 · May 24, 2026 · 15:39 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC
AS@astronomer_zero
May 24, 2026 · 15:39 UTC
$btc shorts
To clear some confusion of what I mean with "new lows".
It means locally.
My weekly view is bullish, I called the bottom at 60k the very day itself.
But I still expect new lows locally, i.e. 74.2k.
And I'm short for it.
Weekly bias: bullish
Daily bias: bearish
*edit: screenshot below added:
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | declarative |
| Duration | 90 days · Long Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Author explicitly states bearish daily bias and is short, expecting new local lows at 74.2k. Despite a longer-term bullish view, the active directional call is clearly down with a single target of 74,200. 'I still expect' and 'I'm short for it' read as declarative commitment.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC drops to 74.2k locally. No outcome-anchored horizon phrase. 'Locally' and 'daily bias: bearish' indicate a short-term move, not a macro call; the short position framing with a specific near-term target fits Signal B (short-term directional move) with 'quick' / local register → ↓ to 7.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $76,452 |
| Target | $74,200 – $74,200 |
| Duration | 90 days · Long Term |
Scoring
This call is directional live — no final score yet.
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | chart_timeframe |
| Duration stated (days) | 90 |
| Duration used in scoring | 90 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A->4A |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | post_text |
| Commitment level | declarative |
| Spot price at post | $76,452 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 1628.22,
"mfe": 18651.59,
"mqs": 0.827505,
"ocs": 0.919712,
"tif": 1,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-01 01:15:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.568135,
"sigma_d": 0.0227001,
"eval_end": "2026-07-04 05:30:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.827505,
"max_close": 77958.4,
"min_close": 58169.81,
"eval_start": "2026-05-24 15:39:37+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 90,
"mew_days_used": 90,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 1.757386,
"target_hit_ts": "2026-05-28 01:30:00+00:00",
"accuracy_score": 0.828838,
"activation_price": 76451.78,
"dir_target_score": 1,
"candles_evaluated": 3896,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.138823,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1w",
"tif_total_aggregated": 7,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 7,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 7,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 7
} 