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Passport #155053 · Jul 15, 2026 · 16:37 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC
AS@astronomer_zero
Jul 15, 2026 · 16:37 UTC
𝕏 $btc
My next trade, is a short (I just started building it now). Also reminder to keep your TP limits on the long.
Alright, with 66k is getting very close now obviously. We have been waiting for it for a long time, but we're not there yet and still have some final sell walls to breach through.
66k is a level where a lot of liquidity sits, it's an S tier liquidity level (best tier in the game).
A lot of liquidity, means a lot of money... for the market makers to grab, which is equally our goal.
Of course, they won't make it easy, perform traps in both price and time, which is why we have been front run once, and might see another local trap here.
No guarantees, they won't make it easy with a lot of money on the line...
But the good news is, the next trade I have been planning after hitting 66k... is a short regardless.
Not an aggressive short, not one to new lows, but one deep enough to hit "countertrend on the daily timeframe" territory.
So, originally, I was planning to wait and short after hitting 66k. But given very close proximity, it makes sense to start here.
Since it's 4:30 am here for me and I can't monitor price overnight, yet have high confidence in a rejection not too long after, or even before 66k as a trap on the daily timeframes, I am just going to start with half size before hitting the level, and if we hit it later, ad in the other size with the profits from the long TP's.
If the day is still young for you, it makes sense to monitor price and only enter later with the plan indeed in mind that I look to short next.
A drop is brewing, whether we get it right before or right after 66k, I am not sure.
I will keep holding my longs for 66k however as promised regardless, but I am starting a short early, call it a day today, and I will see you Tomorrow.
🤖Ask the AI Analyst about this call →@astronomer_zero's BTC record, on demand — every answer traceable to scored postsStage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | declarative |
| Duration | 5 days · Short Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Author is initiating a short and explicitly says 'a drop is brewing' — clear down call. 66k is referenced as a liquidity level/upside area for existing longs, not a downside target. No specific numeric downside target is given ('countertrend on daily timeframe' is qualitative), so targets are null. Language is declarative about initiating the short.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC drops to 'countertrend on the daily timeframe' territory. No explicit horizon attached to the outcome. The post uses urgency-adjacent language ('a drop is brewing', 'rejection not too long after', 'high confidence in a rejection') tied to the downward move, and references daily timeframe framing — Signal C base 14, with no tiebreaker cues to shift the bucket.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $64,940 |
| Target | — |
| Duration | 5 days · Short Term |
Scoring
0.71composite Call Rank Score
| Move Score (MQS) | 0.78 |
| Path Score (OCS) | 0.77 |
| Time Score (TIF) | 0.92 |
| Magnitude | 0.78 |
| Max Favorable Move | +3.7% |
| Max Unfavorable Move | −1.1% |
| Candles evaluated | 480 · 2h |
| Eval window | Jul 15, 2026 · 16:37 UTC → Jul 20, 2026 · 16:37 UTC |
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | chart_timeframe |
| Duration stated (days) | 5 |
| Duration used in scoring | 5 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A->4A |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | none |
| Commitment level | declarative |
| Spot price at post | $64,940 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 726.47,
"mfe": 2402.77,
"mqs": 0.77842,
"ocs": 0.767845,
"tif": 0.918033,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-17 14:00:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.392596,
"sigma_d": 0.01785566,
"eval_end": "2026-07-20 16:37:19+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.77842,
"max_close": 65598.75,
"min_close": 62568.18,
"eval_start": "2026-07-15 16:37:19+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": true,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 14,
"mew_days_used": 5,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 1.50697,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.714224,
"activation_price": 64940.33,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 480,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.024552,
"scoring_candle_tf": "2h",
"tif_total_aggregated": 61,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 61,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 56,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 61
}