Call Audit

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Passport #148384 · Jul 10, 2026 · 02:06 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC

@astronomer_zero

Jul 10, 2026 · 02:06 UTC

$btc recap 7 Trades, 2 BE, 5 Wins ✅ All called live 2 longs still open Alright, it's been a pretty good start of the summer so far. With 7 trades managed, 5 wins scored and 2 BE's. 1 BE being a trim + SL, ending up with nothing and 1 fumble (on the long Yesterday). the remainder of the two longs still running. Everything is called live. I also have put the bias on the screen and the main confluence this bias is attributed to, carrying the idea of my trade. With the first stretch bullish - 7.12% bounce post-long (aggressive bottom call thesis). Second bias: bearish - FOMC reversal Third bias: bullish - expecting 66k. Still holding long VI and long V for 66k. How I count my wins Repeating this for the ones who are new since my counting has a deliberate philosophy: 0.5 RR - 1.2 RR is a small win. 1.2 RR - 2 RR is a normal win 2 RR+ is a big win. < 0.5 RR is a BE < -0.1 RR is a loss With my philosophy, BE trades don't count as trades that end the streak. This keeps mental momentum going. Wins both small and large count as wins. They ultimately average out into solid wins. Every trade was shared and taken in real time on my timeline (all you have to do is scroll down). And the main ideas, what I use and confluences as to why I took the trades are also shared. Enjoy. My aim is to keep you on the right side of the market. With my daily bias on point most of the time. Weekly bias? Still loading, we will see if my bottom call thesis is correct, only months from now.

Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

Asset

BTC

Stage 2 · Type Classification

Type	Directional
Activation	Active Immediately

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

Asset	BTC
Direction	Long
Commitment	declarative
Duration	60 days · Medium Term
Trigger	—
Trigger Operator	—

AI Reasoning

Forecaster explicitly states 'Third bias: bullish - expecting 66k' and confirms 'Still holding long VI and long V for 66k'. Clear up direction with a single target of 66k. Declarative commitment as they're actively holding positions for this target.

Duration reasoning

Outcome = BTC rises to 66k. The phrase 'only months from now' is bound to validating the bullish bottom-call thesis (which includes the 66k target), giving an explicit horizon. 'Months' → 'few months' = 60 days per §3.2.

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

No chart analysis for this call.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

Asset	BTC
Direction	Long
Activation	Active Immediately
Activation price	$63,871
Target	$66,000 – $66,000
Duration	60 days · Medium Term

Scoring

This call is directional live — no final score yet.

Duration Resolution

Duration source	explicit_text
Duration stated (days)	60
Duration used in scoring	60

Pipeline

Pipeline path	3A->4A
Merge source	merged
Direction source	post_text
Target source	post_text
Commitment level	declarative
Spot price at post	$63,871
Stage 0 passed	Yes

Review Provenance

Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.

Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mae": 178.28,
  "mfe": 305.82,
  "mqs": 0.340463,
  "ocs": 0.631729,
  "tif": 1,
  "mfe_ts": "2026-07-10 05:00:00+00:00",
  "abs_mag": 0.015497,
  "sigma_d": 0.02300761,
  "eval_end": "2026-07-10 05:30:00+00:00",
  "magnitude": 0.340463,
  "max_close": 64100,
  "min_close": 63815.9,
  "eval_start": "2026-07-10 02:06:28+00:00",
  "trigger_p0": null,
  "trigger_ts": null,
  "active_mode": false,
  "trigger_hit": null,
  "review_flags": {},
  "sigma_d_days": 60,
  "mew_days_used": 60,
  "mqs_raw_ratio": 0.416218,
  "target_hit_ts": null,
  "accuracy_score": 0.496922,
  "activation_price": 63871.04,
  "dir_target_score": 0.107545,
  "candles_evaluated": 14,
  "expected_move_mqs": 0.011504,
  "scoring_candle_tf": "3d",
  "tif_total_aggregated": 1,
  "trigger_candle_index": null,
  "aggregated_candles_count": 1,
  "tif_favorable_aggregated": 1,
  "candles_evaluated_aggregated": 1
}