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Call Audit
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Passport #182857 · Aug 11, 2026 · 20:46 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC
The main problem for bitcoin:native tomorrow Aug 12 isn't the eclipse
Although that's not helping and New Moons are often roughly Bear Pivot +/- even without eclipses
It's Jupiter on the BTC South Node which is typically a signal for losses and declines
and Mars opposing BTC natal Pluto, also a sign of breakdown and declines
Leans Bearish but Nothing is ever guaranteed, manage risk accordingly
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | heavy_hedge |
| Duration | 1 days · Short Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Bearish language ('Leans Bearish', 'losses and declines', 'breakdown and declines') gives clear down direction. No price targets stated. 'Leans Bearish but Nothing is ever guaranteed' with heavy risk-management disclaimer = heavy_hedge.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC declines. The post explicitly ties the bearish call to 'tomorrow Aug 12' — D = 2026-08-11, target date = 2026-08-12, which is 1 day out. Explicit timeframe = 1.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $63,740 |
| Target | — |
| Duration | 1 days · Short Term |
Scoring
This call is directional live — no final score yet.
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | explicit_text |
| Duration stated (days) | 1 |
| Duration used in scoring | 1 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A |
| Merge source | post_only |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | none |
| Commitment level | heavy_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $63,740 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 168.01,
"mfe": 205.99,
"mqs": 0.383565,
"ocs": 0.550775,
"tif": 0.470588,
"mfe_ts": "2026-08-12 00:15:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.08085,
"sigma_d": 0.01335967,
"eval_end": "2026-08-12 05:15:00+00:00",
"end_close": 63809.55,
"magnitude": 0.383565,
"max_close": 63898.29,
"min_close": 63580.01,
"eval_start": "2026-08-11 20:46:09+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"end_close_ts": "2026-08-12 05:15:00+00:00",
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 14,
"mew_days_used": 1,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.483803,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.371445,
"activation_price": 63740,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 34,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.00668,
"scoring_candle_tf": "15m",
"tif_total_aggregated": 34,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 34,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 16,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 34
}