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Call Audit
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Passport #182397 · Aug 11, 2026 · 17:47 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC
$BTC Crash Update
BTC clearly rejected 65300 and failed to make a higher high, instead making bearish pivot and back into the chop zone
This gave initial confirmation to bearish astrology signals
Now Aug 12-13 is a key to see some sharper declines, possibly down to $62200 where Bulls might mount a defense
Aug 16-18 is another period to see a major bearish breakdown
If $62200 BREAKS it's a pretty deep drop to the bottom of the range at 58k
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 2 days · Short Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Clearly bearish call ('Crash Update', 'sharper declines'). Directional target is $62,200 as the expected decline destination. The 58k level is conditional on 62,200 breaking — that's a separate conditional claim, not extracted here. 'Possibly' softens to mild_hedge.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC declines to $62,200. The horizon phrase 'Aug 12-13' is bound to the outcome ('see some sharper declines, possibly down to $62200'). D = 2026-08-11; Aug 13 2026 − Aug 11 2026 = 2 days.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $63,608 |
| Target | $62,200 – $62,200 |
| Duration | 2 days · Short Term |
Scoring
This call is directional live — no final score yet.
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | explicit_text |
| Duration stated (days) | 2 |
| Duration used in scoring | 2 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3AA->4A |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | post_text |
| Commitment level | mild_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $63,608 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 25.06,
"mfe": 369.88,
"mqs": 0.583325,
"ocs": 0.936547,
"tif": 0.75,
"mfe_ts": "2026-08-11 19:15:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.102729,
"sigma_d": 0.01328462,
"eval_end": "2026-08-11 19:30:00+00:00",
"end_close": 63322,
"magnitude": 0.583325,
"max_close": 63607.88,
"min_close": 63248.54,
"eval_start": "2026-08-11 17:47:40+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"end_close_ts": "2026-08-11 19:30:00+00:00",
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 14,
"mew_days_used": 2,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.875449,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.59315,
"activation_price": 63607.88,
"dir_target_score": 0.255235,
"candles_evaluated": 7,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.006642,
"scoring_candle_tf": "30m",
"tif_total_aggregated": 4,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 4,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 3,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 4
}