Call Audit

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Passport #181407 · Aug 10, 2026 · 17:57 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC

@astrocryptoguru

Aug 10, 2026 · 17:57 UTC

I called this short $BTC rally period 10 days ago, to the exact TOP day so far ... very hard to pull off folks Now the 10-11th is a bit of an in between Pivot period But The 12th -21st has the signals for a potential crash out event Stacking $Crypto Short positions https://t.co/cXZxQaFfYJ

🤖Ask the AI Analyst about this call →@astrocryptoguru's BTC record, on demand — every answer traceable to scored posts

Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

Asset

BTC

Stage 2 · Type Classification

Type	Directional
Activation	Active Immediately

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

Asset	BTC
Direction	Short
Commitment	mild_hedge
Duration	11 days · Short Term
Trigger	—
Trigger Operator	—

AI Reasoning

Forecaster is stacking short positions and predicting a 'potential crash out event' between Aug 12-21, clearly bearish. 'Potential' softens it to mild_hedge. No specific price targets stated.

Duration reasoning

Outcome = BTC crashes down. The post explicitly bounds the predicted crash event to '12th-21st'; D = 2026-08-10, so the end of the window is Aug 21 2026, which is 11 days out. Explicit timeframe = 11.

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

No chart analysis for this call.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

Asset	BTC
Direction	Short
Activation	Active Immediately
Activation price	$63,953
Target	—
Duration	11 days · Short Term

Scoring

This call is directional live — no final score yet.

Duration Resolution

Duration source	explicit_text
Duration stated (days)	11
Duration used in scoring	11

Pipeline

Pipeline path	3A
Merge source	post_only
Direction source	post_text
Target source	none
Commitment level	mild_hedge
Spot price at post	$63,953
Stage 0 passed	Yes

Review Provenance

Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.

Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mae": 67.6,
  "mfe": 146.77,
  "mqs": 0.285805,
  "ocs": 0.684657,
  "tif": 1,
  "mfe_ts": "2026-08-10 18:45:00+00:00",
  "abs_mag": 0.017347,
  "sigma_d": 0.0136362,
  "eval_end": "2026-08-10 19:30:00+00:00",
  "end_close": 63944.35,
  "magnitude": 0.285805,
  "max_close": 63953.04,
  "min_close": 63888,
  "eval_start": "2026-08-10 17:57:19+00:00",
  "trigger_p0": null,
  "trigger_ts": null,
  "active_mode": false,
  "score_final": false,
  "trigger_hit": null,
  "end_close_ts": "2026-08-10 19:30:00+00:00",
  "review_flags": {},
  "sigma_d_days": 14,
  "mew_days_used": 11,
  "mqs_raw_ratio": 0.336599,
  "target_hit_ts": null,
  "accuracy_score": 0.496952,
  "activation_price": 63953.04,
  "dir_target_score": null,
  "candles_evaluated": 7,
  "expected_move_mqs": 0.006818,
  "scoring_candle_tf": "8h",
  "tif_total_aggregated": 1,
  "trigger_candle_index": null,
  "aggregated_candles_count": 1,
  "tif_favorable_aggregated": 1,
  "candles_evaluated_aggregated": 1
}