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Call Audit

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Passport #171181 · Jul 30, 2026 · 18:40 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC

AS
@astrocryptoguru
Jul 30, 2026 · 18:40 UTC
𝕏
I don't post much about ethereum:native trades or astrology since it's much less reliable then $BTC set ups, got burned a few times BUT can't ignore a lucky Jupiter on Eth Sun July 31-Aug 4 ETH is potentially bullish consolidating right at resistance, could we see a breakout here ?
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Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

AssetETH

Stage 2 · Type Classification

TypeDirectional
ActivationActive Immediately

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

AssetETH
DirectionLong
Commitmentheavy_hedge
Duration5 days · Short Term
Trigger
Trigger Operator

AI Reasoning

Bullish lean based on 'potentially bullish' and 'could we see a breakout' framing. No price targets stated. Heavy hedge due to 'potentially', 'could', and rhetorical question phrasing.

Duration reasoning

Outcome = ETH breakout to the upside. The post anchors the bullish window to 'July 31–Aug 4'; D = 2026-07-30, Aug 4 2026 − Jul 30 2026 = 5 days, and this horizon is bound to the predicted outcome (the breakout), not a trigger.

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

No chart analysis for this call.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

AssetETH
DirectionLong
ActivationActive Immediately
Activation price$1,919
Target
Duration5 days · Short Term

Scoring

0.22composite Call Rank Score
Move Score (MQS)0.60
Path Score (OCS)0.16
Time Score (TIF)0.03
Magnitude0.60
Max Favorable Move+1.0%
Max Unfavorable Move−5.0%
Candles evaluated480 · 2h
Eval windowJul 30, 2026 · 18:40 UTCAug 4, 2026 · 18:40 UTC

Duration Resolution

Duration sourceexplicit_text
Duration stated (days)5
Duration used in scoring5

Pipeline

Pipeline path3A->4A
Merge sourcemerged
Direction sourcepost_text
Target sourcenone
Commitment levelheavy_hedge
Spot price at post$1,919
Stage 0 passedYes

Review Provenance

Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.

Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mae": 96.5,
  "mfe": 18.23,
  "mqs": 0.596751,
  "ocs": 0.158895,
  "tif": 0.032787,
  "mfe_ts": "2026-07-30 23:45:00+00:00",
  "abs_mag": 0.106141,
  "sigma_d": 0.0209247,
  "eval_end": "2026-08-04 18:40:54+00:00",
  "magnitude": 0.596751,
  "max_close": 1931.98,
  "min_close": 1832.31,
  "eval_start": "2026-07-30 18:40:54+00:00",
  "trigger_p0": null,
  "trigger_ts": null,
  "active_mode": false,
  "score_final": true,
  "trigger_hit": null,
  "review_flags": {},
  "sigma_d_days": 14,
  "mew_days_used": 5,
  "mqs_raw_ratio": 0.908201,
  "target_hit_ts": null,
  "accuracy_score": 0.223644,
  "activation_price": 1918.56,
  "dir_target_score": null,
  "candles_evaluated": 480,
  "expected_move_mqs": 0.010462,
  "scoring_candle_tf": "2h",
  "tif_total_aggregated": 61,
  "trigger_candle_index": null,
  "aggregated_candles_count": 61,
  "tif_favorable_aggregated": 2,
  "candles_evaluated_aggregated": 61
}