Call Audit

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Passport #160815 · Jul 19, 2026 · 22:12 UTC · scored as of Oct 6, 2026 · 14:32 UTC

@astrocryptoguru

Jul 19, 2026 · 22:12 UTC

$BTC in trouble here Three week rally barely making a dent in the bearish Weekly chart Favorable rally window closing in a few days Yikes https://t.co/fpmR3wUXag

🤖Ask the AI Analyst about this call →@astrocryptoguru's BTC record, on demand — every answer traceable to scored posts

Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

Asset

BTC

Stage 2 · Type Classification

Type	Directional
Activation	Active Immediately

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

Asset	BTC
Direction	Short
Commitment	mild_hedge
Duration	90 days · Long Term
Trigger	—
Trigger Operator	—

AI Reasoning

Bearish framing with 'in trouble', 'bearish Weekly chart', and 'Yikes' clearly indicates a down call. No specific price targets stated. Tone is cautionary/warning rather than a firm declarative prediction, so mild_hedge fits best.

Duration reasoning

Outcome = BTC declines. 'Favorable rally window closing in a few days' is bound to the setup/trigger context (the rally window), not the outcome itself per §0.5, so no explicit horizon. However, 'in a few days' signals near-term urgency tied to the bearish outcome materializing → Signal C base 14, with ↓ to 7 given the short-term framing ('a few days') indicating this is a brief window call with no medium-term indication.

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

No chart analysis for this call.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

Asset	BTC
Direction	Short
Activation	Active Immediately
Activation price	$64,663
Target	—
Duration	90 days · Long Term

Scoring

This call is directional live — no final score yet.

Duration Resolution

Duration source	chart_timeframe
Duration stated (days)	90
Duration used in scoring	90

Pipeline

Pipeline path	3A->4A
Merge source	merged
Direction source	post_text
Target source	none
Commitment level	mild_hedge
Spot price at post	$64,663
Stage 0 passed	Yes

Review Provenance

Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.

Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mae": 1136.27,
  "mfe": 1562.73,
  "mqs": 0.822138,
  "ocs": 0.579003,
  "tif": 0,
  "mfe_ts": "2026-07-20 08:45:00+00:00",
  "abs_mag": 0.063784,
  "sigma_d": 0.02112351,
  "eval_end": "2026-07-20 19:45:00+00:00",
  "magnitude": 0.822138,
  "max_close": 65753.05,
  "min_close": 63826,
  "eval_start": "2026-07-19 22:12:50+00:00",
  "trigger_p0": null,
  "trigger_ts": null,
  "active_mode": false,
  "score_final": false,
  "trigger_hit": null,
  "review_flags": {},
  "sigma_d_days": 90,
  "mew_days_used": 90,
  "mqs_raw_ratio": 1.726749,
  "target_hit_ts": null,
  "accuracy_score": 0.366231,
  "activation_price": 64662.73,
  "dir_target_score": null,
  "candles_evaluated": 87,
  "expected_move_mqs": 0.013996,
  "scoring_candle_tf": "1w",
  "tif_total_aggregated": 1,
  "trigger_candle_index": null,
  "aggregated_candles_count": 1,
  "tif_favorable_aggregated": 0,
  "candles_evaluated_aggregated": 1
}