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Call Audit

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Passport #150222 · Jul 11, 2026 · 18:44 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC

AS
@astrocryptoguru
Jul 11, 2026 · 18:44 UTC
𝕏
I have been talking about the favorable Outer Planet Alignments of July for months now But what comes after ? You might want to start protecting capital in July because things get rough in August as eclipse season hits New problems start as early as July 26 when the Nodes changes signs, and things continue to deteriorate with Mars in Fall in Cancer Aug 11 and the Aug 12 Solar Eclipse And We may be looking yet ANOTHER major $BTC crash between Aug 27 and Sept 3rd You have been warned

Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

AssetBTC

Stage 2 · Type Classification

TypeDirectional
ActivationActive Immediately

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

AssetBTC
DirectionShort
Commitmentmild_hedge
Duration54 days · Medium Term
Trigger
Trigger Operator

AI Reasoning

Clear bearish call predicting a 'major BTC crash' between Aug 27 and Sept 3. No specific price targets stated. 'May be looking at' softens the commitment to mild_hedge rather than declarative.

Duration reasoning

Outcome = BTC major crash. The post explicitly bounds the outcome to 'Aug 27 and Sept 3rd'; D = 2026-07-11, Sept 3 2026 − July 11 2026 = 54 days. Using the far end of the stated window as the evaluation boundary.

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

No chart analysis for this call.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

AssetBTC
DirectionShort
ActivationActive Immediately
Activation price$64,353
Target
Duration54 days · Medium Term

Scoring

This call is directional live — no final score yet.

Duration Resolution

Duration sourceexplicit_text
Duration stated (days)54
Duration used in scoring54

Pipeline

Pipeline path3A
Merge sourcepost_only
Direction sourcepost_text
Target sourcenone
Commitment levelmild_hedge
Spot price at post$64,353
Stage 0 passedYes

Review Provenance

Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.

Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mae": 110.54,
  "mfe": 651.13,
  "mqs": 0.573813,
  "ocs": 0.854871,
  "tif": 1,
  "mfe_ts": "2026-07-12 00:45:00+00:00",
  "abs_mag": 0.034508,
  "sigma_d": 0.02371425,
  "eval_end": "2026-07-12 05:30:00+00:00",
  "magnitude": 0.573813,
  "max_close": 64415.05,
  "min_close": 63782,
  "eval_start": "2026-07-11 18:44:37+00:00",
  "trigger_p0": null,
  "trigger_ts": null,
  "active_mode": false,
  "trigger_hit": null,
  "review_flags": {},
  "sigma_d_days": 54,
  "mew_days_used": 54,
  "mqs_raw_ratio": 0.852877,
  "target_hit_ts": null,
  "accuracy_score": 0.615798,
  "activation_price": 64353.29,
  "dir_target_score": null,
  "candles_evaluated": 44,
  "expected_move_mqs": 0.011863,
  "scoring_candle_tf": "3d",
  "tif_total_aggregated": 2,
  "trigger_candle_index": null,
  "aggregated_candles_count": 2,
  "tif_favorable_aggregated": 2,
  "candles_evaluated_aggregated": 2
}