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Passport #150222 · Jul 11, 2026 · 18:44 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC
AS@astrocryptoguru
Jul 11, 2026 · 18:44 UTC
𝕏 I have been talking about the favorable Outer Planet Alignments of July for months now
But what comes after ?
You might want to start protecting capital in July because things get rough in August as eclipse season hits
New problems start as early as July 26 when the Nodes changes signs, and things continue to deteriorate with Mars in Fall in Cancer Aug 11 and the Aug 12 Solar Eclipse
And We may be looking yet ANOTHER major $BTC crash between Aug 27 and Sept 3rd
You have been warned
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 54 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Clear bearish call predicting a 'major BTC crash' between Aug 27 and Sept 3. No specific price targets stated. 'May be looking at' softens the commitment to mild_hedge rather than declarative.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC major crash. The post explicitly bounds the outcome to 'Aug 27 and Sept 3rd'; D = 2026-07-11, Sept 3 2026 − July 11 2026 = 54 days. Using the far end of the stated window as the evaluation boundary.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $64,353 |
| Target | — |
| Duration | 54 days · Medium Term |
Scoring
This call is directional live — no final score yet.
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | explicit_text |
| Duration stated (days) | 54 |
| Duration used in scoring | 54 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A |
| Merge source | post_only |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | none |
| Commitment level | mild_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $64,353 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 110.54,
"mfe": 651.13,
"mqs": 0.573813,
"ocs": 0.854871,
"tif": 1,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-12 00:45:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.034508,
"sigma_d": 0.02371425,
"eval_end": "2026-07-12 05:30:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.573813,
"max_close": 64415.05,
"min_close": 63782,
"eval_start": "2026-07-11 18:44:37+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 54,
"mew_days_used": 54,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.852877,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.615798,
"activation_price": 64353.29,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 44,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.011863,
"scoring_candle_tf": "3d",
"tif_total_aggregated": 2,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 2,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 2,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 2
}