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Call Audit
Every scored call is fully auditable
Passport #179361 · Aug 8, 2026 · 14:10 UTC · scored as of Oct 6, 2026 · 14:32 UTC
Study the symmetry on $BTC.
As the bull market matured, the pullbacks became deeper.
Now the same process is unfolding in reverse.
The macro trend remains down, but as the bear market matures, the rallies against it are becoming steeper and increasingly aggressive.
The next move lower will convince everyone that BTC is accelerating toward much lower prices.
I believe it will be followed by the largest rally of this entire bear market.
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | declarative |
| Duration | 90 days · Long Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Forecaster explicitly states 'the next move lower will...' indicating a down call. No specific numeric target provided for the next move down. 'Will' makes it declarative. The subsequent rally mention is a secondary claim without numeric levels, so only the down leg is extracted per Stage 2 guidance.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC moves lower ('next move lower'). No explicit horizon phrase is bound to this outcome. No bounce, urgency, or macro signal applies to this directional down leg — DEFAULT 30.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $65,059 |
| Target | — |
| Duration | 90 days · Long Term |
Scoring
This call is directional live — no final score yet.
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | chart_timeframe |
| Duration stated (days) | 90 |
| Duration used in scoring | 90 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A->4A |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | none |
| Commitment level | declarative |
| Spot price at post | $65,059 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 133.85,
"mfe": 43.42,
"mqs": 0.062345,
"ocs": 0.244937,
"tif": 1,
"mfe_ts": "2026-08-08 14:15:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.001764,
"sigma_d": 0.02073516,
"eval_end": "2026-08-08 19:30:00+00:00",
"end_close": 65021,
"magnitude": 0.062345,
"max_close": 65136.69,
"min_close": 65021,
"eval_start": "2026-08-08 14:10:19+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"end_close_ts": "2026-08-08 19:30:00+00:00",
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 90,
"mew_days_used": 90,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.064373,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.327261,
"activation_price": 65058.69,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 22,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.010368,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1w",
"tif_total_aggregated": 1,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 1,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 1,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 1
}