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Call Audit

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Passport #173090 · Aug 1, 2026 · 15:09 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC

AR
@ardinsc
Aug 1, 2026 · 15:09 UTC
𝕏
$ZEC is starting to look interesting again. Price has formed a double bottom directly at the key $450 liquidity pivot, with compound resistance now sitting just above. If ZEC can successfully break through that resistance, I’d be targeting a move into the $490-$500 region. That’s where I’d reassess the strength of the move. Either price shows enough momentum to continue higher, or it rejects and forms another lower high before the downtrend resumes.
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Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

AssetZEC

Stage 2 · Type Classification

TypeConditional
ActivationActive at Trigger

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

AssetZEC
DirectionLong
Commitmentmild_hedge
Duration7 days · Short Term
Trigger$450
Trigger OperatorBreak Above

AI Reasoning

Trigger is the break above the $450 pivot resistance; target after break is $490-$500 range. Single conditional claim with mild hedge ('I'd be targeting').

Duration reasoning

Outcome = ZEC moves to $490-$500 after breaking resistance. Per §0.5, the trigger is the resistance break; no horizon phrase is attached to the outcome. No bounce/bottom/urgency/macro signal fires → DEFAULT 30.

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

No chart analysis for this call.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

AssetZEC
DirectionLong
ActivationActive at Trigger
Activation price$470.23
Target$490 – $500
Duration7 days · Short Term
Trigger level$450
Trigger operatorBreak Above
Conditional operatorCategory B — Break/Pump/Close Above
Trigger hitYes
Trigger timeAug 1, 2026 · 16:00 UTC

Scoring

0.85composite Call Rank Score
Move Score (MQS)0.83
Path Score (OCS)0.82
Time Score (TIF)0.93
Magnitude0.83
Max Favorable Move+11.8%
Max Unfavorable Move−2.6%
Candles evaluated673 · 4h
Eval windowAug 1, 2026 · 16:00 UTCAug 8, 2026 · 16:00 UTC

Duration Resolution

Duration sourcechart_timeframe
Duration stated (days)7
Duration used in scoring7

Pipeline

Pipeline path3B->4B_modeB
Merge sourcemerged
Direction sourcepost_text
Target sourcepost_text
Commitment levelmild_hedge
Spot price at post$471.65
Stage 0 passedYes

Review Provenance

Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.

Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mae": 12.18,
  "mfe": 55.67,
  "mqs": 0.825499,
  "ocs": 0.820485,
  "tif": 0.930233,
  "mfe_ts": "2026-08-05 12:45:00+00:00",
  "abs_mag": 0.80823,
  "sigma_d": 0.03449524,
  "eval_end": "2026-08-08 16:00:00+00:00",
  "end_close": 505.22,
  "magnitude": 0.825499,
  "max_close": 523.86,
  "min_close": 461.26,
  "eval_start": "2026-08-01 16:00:00+00:00",
  "trigger_p0": 470.23,
  "trigger_ts": "2026-08-01 16:00:00+00:00",
  "active_mode": false,
  "score_final": true,
  "trigger_hit": true,
  "end_close_ts": "2026-08-08 16:00:00+00:00",
  "review_flags": {},
  "sigma_d_days": 14,
  "mew_days_used": 7,
  "mqs_raw_ratio": 1.745824,
  "target_hit_ts": "2026-08-02 20:30:00+00:00",
  "accuracy_score": 0.846112,
  "activation_price": 470.23,
  "dir_target_score": 1,
  "candles_evaluated": 673,
  "expected_move_mqs": 0.067813,
  "scoring_candle_tf": "4h",
  "tif_total_aggregated": 43,
  "trigger_candle_index": 0,
  "aggregated_candles_count": 43,
  "tif_favorable_aggregated": 40,
  "candles_evaluated_aggregated": 43
}