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Call Audit

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Passport #168716 · Jul 27, 2026 · 19:50 UTC · scored as of Oct 6, 2026 · 14:32 UTC

AR
@ardinsc
Jul 27, 2026 · 19:50 UTC
𝕏
$BTC is building large amounts of liquidity on both sides of the current range. Hence why I have no interest in positioning until we see one side cleared out. Reclaim $65.5K and roughly $500M worth of short liquidity between $66K–$66.8K becomes the clear target. Lose $64.2K and price likely hunts the $200M worth of long liquidity sitting underneath. Until one of those pivots break, this remains range-bound PA. Sideways chop until the market finally clears one side to fuel the directional move.
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Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

AssetBTC

Stage 2 · Type Classification

TypeConditional
ActivationActive at Trigger

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

AssetBTC
DirectionShort
Commitmentmild_hedge
Duration30 days · Medium Term
Trigger$64,200
Trigger OperatorBreak Below

AI Reasoning

Claim 2: Losing $64.2K is a break-below trigger targeting long liquidity underneath, but no specific numeric target price is given for the long liquidity zone.

Duration reasoning

Outcome = BTC drops to hunt long liquidity below $64.2K after losing that level. Per §0.5, 'Lose $64.2K' is the trigger; no horizon phrase is bound to the outcome. No §4 signal fires → DEFAULT 30.

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

No chart analysis for this call.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

AssetBTC
DirectionShort
ActivationActive at Trigger
Activation price$63,756
Target—
Duration30 days · Medium Term
Trigger level$64,200
Trigger operatorBreak Below
Conditional operatorCategory B — Break/Dump/Lose/Close Below
Trigger hitYes
Trigger timeJul 28, 2026 · 00:00 UTC

Scoring

0.54composite Call Rank Score
Move Score (MQS)0.70
Path Score (OCS)0.91
Time Score (TIF)0.50
Magnitude0.70
Max Favorable Move+1.1%
Max Unfavorable Move−0.1%
Candles evaluated22 · 1d
Eval windowJul 28, 2026 · 00:00 UTC → Jul 28, 2026 · 05:15 UTC

Duration Resolution

Duration sourceai_inferred
Duration stated (days)30
Duration used in scoring30

Pipeline

Pipeline path3B->4B_modeB
Merge sourcemerged
Direction sourcepost_text
Target sourcenone
Commitment levelmild_hedge
Spot price at post$64,984
Stage 0 passedYes

Review Provenance

Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.

Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mae": 71.63,
  "mfe": 696.47,
  "mqs": 0.702539,
  "ocs": 0.906744,
  "tif": 0.5,
  "mfe_ts": "2026-07-28 01:15:00+00:00",
  "abs_mag": 0.049964,
  "sigma_d": 0.01801941,
  "eval_end": "2026-07-28 05:15:00+00:00",
  "magnitude": 0.702539,
  "max_close": 63755.86,
  "min_close": 63130,
  "eval_start": "2026-07-28 00:00:00+00:00",
  "trigger_p0": 63755.86,
  "trigger_ts": "2026-07-28 00:00:00+00:00",
  "active_mode": false,
  "score_final": false,
  "trigger_hit": true,
  "review_flags": {},
  "sigma_d_days": 30,
  "mew_days_used": 30,
  "mqs_raw_ratio": 1.212472,
  "target_hit_ts": null,
  "accuracy_score": 0.539812,
  "activation_price": 63755.86,
  "dir_target_score": null,
  "candles_evaluated": 22,
  "expected_move_mqs": 0.00901,
  "scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
  "tif_total_aggregated": 2,
  "trigger_candle_index": 0,
  "aggregated_candles_count": 2,
  "tif_favorable_aggregated": 1,
  "candles_evaluated_aggregated": 2
}