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Call Audit
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Passport #161461 · Jul 20, 2026 · 19:26 UTC · scored as of Aug 12, 2026 · 20:33 UTC
This is how I believe the final phase of the $BTC cycle unfolds.
Rally into August. One final correction into late September.
Build the cycle floor during Q4.
Then reclaim the long-term downtrend and begin the next cycle.
We’re not far. ✌️ https://t.co/uTHWjXM35x
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 12 days · Short Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Per Stage 2, only the first leg is scored: rally into August = up. No numeric targets stated. 'I believe' language = mild_hedge.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC rallies up. 'Rally into August' is the outcome horizon; D = 2026-07-20, August 1 is 12 days away (using the start of August as the bound since 'into August' implies reaching August, not the end of it — minimum 1 day, so 12 days to Aug 1).
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Long |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $65,156 |
| Target | — |
| Duration | 12 days · Short Term |
Scoring
0.43composite Call Rank Score
| Move Score (MQS) | 0.84 |
| Path Score (OCS) | 0.38 |
| Time Score (TIF) | 0.30 |
| Magnitude | 0.84 |
| Max Favorable Move | +2.8% |
| Max Unfavorable Move | −4.4% |
| Candles evaluated | 1152 · 8h |
| Eval window | Jul 20, 2026 · 19:26 UTC → Aug 1, 2026 · 19:15 UTC |
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | explicit_text |
| Duration stated (days) | 12 |
| Duration used in scoring | 12 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A->4A |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | none |
| Commitment level | mild_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $65,156 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 2881.24,
"mfe": 1799.91,
"mqs": 0.838311,
"ocs": 0.384502,
"tif": 0.297297,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-21 14:15:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.197317,
"sigma_d": 0.01712254,
"eval_end": "2026-08-01 19:15:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.838311,
"max_close": 66944.4,
"min_close": 62370.01,
"eval_start": "2026-07-20 19:26:02+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 14,
"mew_days_used": 12,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 1.822079,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.429357,
"activation_price": 65156.24,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 1152,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.015161,
"scoring_candle_tf": "8h",
"tif_total_aggregated": 37,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 37,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 11,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 37
}