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Passport #153233 · Jul 13, 2026 · 20:22 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC
AL@alienops
Jul 13, 2026 · 20:22 UTC
𝕏 $BTC
As I mentioned before, I'll be sharing macro updates from time to time.
So far, nothing has changed.
Still red. https://t.co/ba8YKVOyiT
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | declarative |
| Duration | 90 days · Long Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
'Still red' indicates a bearish macro stance on BTC — direction is down. No price targets are stated in the post. Tone is declarative ('nothing has changed', 'Still red').
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC continues down (bearish). No outcome-anchored horizon phrase present. No bounce, bottom-call, urgency, or macro signal fires — DEFAULT 30.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $62,218 |
| Target | — |
| Duration | 90 days · Long Term |
Scoring
This call is directional live — no final score yet.
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | chart_timeframe |
| Duration stated (days) | 90 |
| Duration used in scoring | 90 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A->4A |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | none |
| Commitment level | declarative |
| Spot price at post | $62,218 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 644.33,
"mfe": 334.79,
"mqs": 0.395748,
"ocs": 0.341929,
"tif": 0,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-13 23:15:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.01422,
"sigma_d": 0.021363,
"eval_end": "2026-07-14 05:15:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.395748,
"max_close": 62824.16,
"min_close": 61924,
"eval_start": "2026-07-13 20:22:19+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 90,
"mew_days_used": 90,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.503763,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.187974,
"activation_price": 62217.67,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 36,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.010682,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1w",
"tif_total_aggregated": 1,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 1,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 0,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 1
}