Call Audit

Every scored call is fully auditable

Passport #152211 · Jul 13, 2026 · 13:24 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC

@alienops

Jul 13, 2026 · 13:24 UTC

𝕏

bitcoin:native Downside first, upside later, Key interest zone remains 58–59K.

Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

Asset

BTC

Stage 2 · Type Classification

Type	Directional
Activation	Active Immediately

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

Asset	BTC
Direction	Short
Commitment	mild_hedge
Duration	30 days · Medium Term
Trigger	—
Trigger Operator	—

AI Reasoning

Per Stage 2 instruction, only the first leg (downside) is being scored. The 58-59K zone is described as a 'key interest zone' which could be interpreted as the downside target destination, but it's ambiguously framed and could also be seen as a reversal/support zone rather than a pure target — hence target confidence NOT PASS. Tone is brief and unqualified but lacks strong declarative verbs, so mild_hedge.

Duration reasoning

Outcome = BTC moves down. No outcome-anchored horizon phrase present; '58–59K' is a price zone, not a timeframe. No bounce, urgency, or macro signal fires → DEFAULT 30.

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

No chart analysis for this call.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

Asset	BTC
Direction	Short
Activation	Active Immediately
Activation price	$62,531
Target	$58,000 – $59,000
Duration	30 days · Medium Term

Scoring

This call is directional live — no final score yet.

Duration Resolution

Duration source	ai_inferred
Duration stated (days)	30
Duration used in scoring	30

Pipeline

Pipeline path	3A
Merge source	post_only
Direction source	post_text
Target source	post_text
Commitment level	mild_hedge
Spot price at post	$62,531
Stage 0 passed	Yes

Review Provenance

gate_3_confidence: post_target_confidence

Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mae": 2568.98,
  "mfe": 706.05,
  "mqs": 0.642121,
  "ocs": 0.215586,
  "tif": 0.333333,
  "mfe_ts": "2026-07-13 18:30:00+00:00",
  "abs_mag": 0.05164,
  "sigma_d": 0.02197668,
  "eval_end": "2026-07-15 05:30:00+00:00",
  "magnitude": 0.642121,
  "max_close": 65043.98,
  "min_close": 61904.99,
  "eval_start": "2026-07-13 13:24:45+00:00",
  "trigger_p0": null,
  "trigger_ts": null,
  "active_mode": false,
  "score_final": false,
  "trigger_hit": null,
  "review_flags": {},
  "sigma_d_days": 30,
  "mew_days_used": 30,
  "mqs_raw_ratio": 1.027562,
  "target_hit_ts": null,
  "accuracy_score": 0.31067,
  "activation_price": 62531.02,
  "dir_target_score": 0.177294,
  "candles_evaluated": 161,
  "expected_move_mqs": 0.010988,
  "scoring_candle_tf": "1d",
  "tif_total_aggregated": 3,
  "trigger_candle_index": null,
  "aggregated_candles_count": 3,
  "tif_favorable_aggregated": 1,
  "candles_evaluated_aggregated": 3
}