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Passport #150237 · Jul 11, 2026 · 23:33 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC
AL@alicharts
Jul 11, 2026 · 23:33 UTC
Ethereum $ETH is testing the top of its channel just as the TD Sequential flashes a sell signal.
That combination could trigger a correction toward $1,770, with $1,700 as the next downside target. https://t.co/waiDbnzBN1
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | ETH |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | heavy_hedge |
| Duration | 3 days · Short Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Bearish call with 'correction toward $1,770' and '$1,700 as next downside target' — range 1700-1770. 'Could trigger' is speculative language = heavy_hedge.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = ETH declines toward $1,770/$1,700. No outcome-anchored horizon phrase present; the TD Sequential and channel language are analytical context, not timeframe cues. No bounce, urgency, or macro signal fires → DEFAULT 30.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | ETH |
| Direction | Short |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $1,791 |
| Target | $1,700 – $1,770 |
| Duration | 3 days · Short Term |
Scoring
0.39composite Call Rank Score
| Move Score (MQS) | 0.49 |
| Path Score (OCS) | 0.28 |
| Time Score (TIF) | 0.45 |
| Magnitude | 0.49 |
| Max Favorable Move | +2.3% |
| Max Unfavorable Move | −5.9% |
| Candles evaluated | 288 · 1h |
| Eval window | Jul 11, 2026 · 23:33 UTC → Jul 14, 2026 · 23:33 UTC |
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | chart_timeframe |
| Duration stated (days) | 3 |
| Duration used in scoring | 3 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A->4A |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | post_text |
| Commitment level | heavy_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $1,791 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 104.83,
"mfe": 41.11,
"mqs": 0.485798,
"ocs": 0.281691,
"tif": 0.452055,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-13 18:30:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.320503,
"sigma_d": 0.02579219,
"eval_end": "2026-07-14 23:33:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.485798,
"max_close": 1887.14,
"min_close": 1753.62,
"eval_start": "2026-07-11 23:33:00+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"score_final": true,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 14,
"mew_days_used": 3,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 0.665139,
"target_hit_ts": "2026-07-13 12:45:00+00:00",
"accuracy_score": 0.385012,
"activation_price": 1791.31,
"dir_target_score": 1,
"candles_evaluated": 288,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.034504,
"scoring_candle_tf": "1h",
"tif_total_aggregated": 73,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 73,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 33,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 73
} 