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Passport #147376 · Jul 8, 2026 · 07:42 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC
AL@alicharts
Jul 8, 2026 · 07:42 UTC
Bitcoin $BTC is getting rejected at the top of its channel.
This could trigger a pullback toward $59,700, with $56,550 as the next downside target. https://t.co/GvI9fMFQbD
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Directional |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Commitment | heavy_hedge |
| Duration | 7 days · Short Term |
| Trigger | — |
| Trigger Operator | — |
AI Reasoning
Bearish call based on rejection at channel top, with explicit downside targets of $59,700 (pullback) and $56,550 (next downside target). 'Could trigger' language indicates heavy hedge. Targets extracted as a range from lower to upper.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = BTC pulls back toward $59,700 / $56,550. No outcome-anchored horizon phrase present. No bounce, bottom-call, urgency, or macro signal fires → DEFAULT 30.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | BTC |
| Direction | Short |
| Activation | Active Immediately |
| Activation price | $62,826 |
| Target | $56,550 – $59,700 |
| Duration | 7 days · Short Term |
Scoring
0.68composite Call Rank Score
| Move Score (MQS) | 0.77 |
| Path Score (OCS) | 0.92 |
| Time Score (TIF) | 0.86 |
| Magnitude | 0.77 |
| Max Favorable Move | +2.0% |
| Max Unfavorable Move | −0.2% |
| Candles evaluated | 88 · 4h |
| Eval window | Jul 8, 2026 · 07:42 UTC → Jul 9, 2026 · 05:30 UTC |
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | chart_timeframe |
| Duration stated (days) | 7 |
| Duration used in scoring | 7 |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3A->4A |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | post_text |
| Commitment level | heavy_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $62,826 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mae": 115.46,
"mfe": 1281.44,
"mqs": 0.767059,
"ocs": 0.917345,
"tif": 0.857143,
"mfe_ts": "2026-07-08 15:30:00+00:00",
"abs_mag": 0.190916,
"sigma_d": 0.0245574,
"eval_end": "2026-07-09 05:30:00+00:00",
"magnitude": 0.767059,
"max_close": 62888.35,
"min_close": 61608.14,
"eval_start": "2026-07-08 07:42:02+00:00",
"trigger_p0": null,
"trigger_ts": null,
"active_mode": false,
"trigger_hit": null,
"review_flags": {},
"sigma_d_days": 14,
"mew_days_used": 7,
"mqs_raw_ratio": 1.456969,
"target_hit_ts": null,
"accuracy_score": 0.683116,
"activation_price": 62826,
"dir_target_score": 0.389591,
"candles_evaluated": 88,
"expected_move_mqs": 0.013999,
"scoring_candle_tf": "4h",
"tif_total_aggregated": 7,
"trigger_candle_index": null,
"aggregated_candles_count": 7,
"tif_favorable_aggregated": 6,
"candles_evaluated_aggregated": 7
} 