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Passport #145704 · Jul 6, 2026 · 20:59 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC

AL
@alicharts
Jul 6, 2026 · 20:59 UTC
𝕏
ETHEREUM BULLISH TRIGGER: $1,800 Ethereum is currently testing the 0.8 MVRV Pricing Band at $1,796 as resistance. A daily close above this level, followed by a successful hold as support, would strengthen the bullish case and could open the door for a move toward Ethereum’s Realized Price at $2,245. What makes this level particularly important is the technical confluence visible on the hourly chart. The TD Sequential resistance trendline sits around $1,796, directly aligning with the 0.8 MVRV Pricing Band. Above it, the TD Sequential risk line sits at $1,816. A break above both $1,796 and $1,816 could trigger a bullish breakout. From a technical perspective, such a move would also increase the probability that $ETH breaks through the top of the channel at $1,844 and begins marching toward the $2,245 Realized Price. Bullish Scenario: • 0.8 MVRV Pricing Band: $1,796 • TD Risk Line: $1,816 • Channel Resistance: $1,844 • Major Target / Realized Price: $2,245

Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction

AssetETH

Stage 2 · Type Classification

TypeConditional
ActivationActive at Trigger

Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction

AssetETH
DirectionLong
Commitmentmild_hedge
Duration30 days · Medium Term
Trigger$1,816
Trigger OperatorBreak Below

AI Reasoning

Trigger is a break above both $1,796 and $1,816 (used higher end 1816 for up-call). Target is $2,245 Realized Price after breakout. Hedged with 'could'.

Duration reasoning

Outcome = ETH moves toward $2,245 after breaking above $1,796/$1,816. The 'daily close above' language is bound to the trigger, not the outcome (§0.5). No horizon phrase is attached to the upside move. No bounce/urgency/macro signal fires → DEFAULT 30.

Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction

No chart analysis for this call.

Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport

AssetETH
DirectionLong
ActivationActive at Trigger
Activation price$1,793
Target$2,245 – $2,245
Duration30 days · Medium Term
Trigger level$1,816
Trigger operatorBreak Below
Conditional operatorCategory B — Break/Pump/Close Above
Trigger hitNo

Scoring

This call is conditional pending — no final score yet.

Duration Resolution

Duration sourceai_inferred
Duration stated (days)30
Duration used in scoring

Pipeline

Pipeline path3B->4B_modeB
Merge sourcemerged
Direction sourcepost_text
Target sourcepost_text
Commitment levelmild_hedge
Spot price at post$1,793
Stage 0 passedYes

Review Provenance

Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.

Raw scoring math

score_json

{
  "mqs": null,
  "ocs": null,
  "tif": null,
  "status": "untriggered",
  "eval_end": "2026-07-07 05:30:00+00:00",
  "magnitude": null,
  "eval_start": "2026-07-06 20:59:00+00:00",
  "trigger_ts": null,
  "trigger_hit": false,
  "review_flags": {},
  "accuracy_score": null,
  "dir_target_score": null,
  "candles_evaluated": 35
}