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Passport #145704 · Jul 6, 2026 · 20:59 UTC · scored as of Jul 15, 2026 · 14:03 UTC
AL@alicharts
Jul 6, 2026 · 20:59 UTC
𝕏 ETHEREUM BULLISH TRIGGER: $1,800
Ethereum is currently testing the 0.8 MVRV Pricing Band at $1,796 as resistance.
A daily close above this level, followed by a successful hold as support, would strengthen the bullish case and could open the door for a move toward Ethereum’s Realized Price at $2,245.
What makes this level particularly important is the technical confluence visible on the hourly chart.
The TD Sequential resistance trendline sits around $1,796, directly aligning with the 0.8 MVRV Pricing Band. Above it, the TD Sequential risk line sits at $1,816.
A break above both $1,796 and $1,816 could trigger a bullish breakout. From a technical perspective, such a move would also increase the probability that $ETH breaks through the top of the channel at $1,844 and begins marching toward the $2,245 Realized Price.
Bullish Scenario:
• 0.8 MVRV Pricing Band: $1,796
• TD Risk Line: $1,816
• Channel Resistance: $1,844
• Major Target / Realized Price: $2,245
Stage 1 · Text-Only Asset Extraction
Stage 2 · Type Classification
| Type | Conditional |
| Activation | Active at Trigger |
Stage 3 · Text-Only Extraction
| Asset | ETH |
| Direction | Long |
| Commitment | mild_hedge |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger | $1,816 |
| Trigger Operator | Break Below |
AI Reasoning
Trigger is a break above both $1,796 and $1,816 (used higher end 1816 for up-call). Target is $2,245 Realized Price after breakout. Hedged with 'could'.
Duration reasoning
Outcome = ETH moves toward $2,245 after breaking above $1,796/$1,816. The 'daily close above' language is bound to the trigger, not the outcome (§0.5). No horizon phrase is attached to the upside move. No bounce/urgency/macro signal fires → DEFAULT 30.
Stage 4 · Chart-Only Extraction
No chart analysis for this call.
Stage 5 · Final Merged Passport
| Asset | ETH |
| Direction | Long |
| Activation | Active at Trigger |
| Activation price | $1,793 |
| Target | $2,245 – $2,245 |
| Duration | 30 days · Medium Term |
| Trigger level | $1,816 |
| Trigger operator | Break Below |
| Conditional operator | Category B — Break/Pump/Close Above |
| Trigger hit | No |
Scoring
This call is conditional pending — no final score yet.
Duration Resolution
| Duration source | ai_inferred |
| Duration stated (days) | 30 |
| Duration used in scoring | — |
Pipeline
| Pipeline path | 3B->4B_modeB |
| Merge source | merged |
| Direction source | post_text |
| Target source | post_text |
| Commitment level | mild_hedge |
| Spot price at post | $1,793 |
| Stage 0 passed | Yes |
Review Provenance
Auto-approved — no review gates triggered.
Raw scoring math
score_json
{
"mqs": null,
"ocs": null,
"tif": null,
"status": "untriggered",
"eval_end": "2026-07-07 05:30:00+00:00",
"magnitude": null,
"eval_start": "2026-07-06 20:59:00+00:00",
"trigger_ts": null,
"trigger_hit": false,
"review_flags": {},
"accuracy_score": null,
"dir_target_score": null,
"candles_evaluated": 35
}